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# Bitness

The World's Fairest Trading Platform

## Sitemaps

- [XML Sitemap](https://bitnes.top/sitemap.xml): Contains all public & indexable URLs for this website.

## Posts

- [Blogs](https://bitnes.top/blog/)
- [A Powerful Framework For Improving Your Trading](https://bitnes.top/a-powerful-framework-for-improving-your-trading/) - The most recent post pointed out that our trading psychology challenges evolve as we move from being rookie traders to consistently profitable ones. Newbies wrestle with the challenges--and inevitable frustrations--of learning markets and weathering periods of risk and reward. Experienced traders look to build businesses and find themselves tackling new learning curves as they branch
- [Developing a New Trading Psychology](https://bitnes.top/developing-a-new-trading-psychology/) - It's not well appreciated, but trading psychology is a developmental psychology. The issues we face as noobs are not the issues we face as experienced traders seeking to be consistently profitable, and those issues are not those we encounter after years of success. We evolve and our challenges--emotionally and in trading--grow with us.Yesterday I went
- [An Effective Technique for Mastering Trading Stress](https://bitnes.top/an-effective-technique-for-mastering-trading-stress/) - A key to understanding trading psychology is the recognition that trading is a performance activity. Like sports or performing arts, we practice and prepare and then comes the performance event. It's natural to have some jitters before the big moment and sometimes in the middle of performing. That is why this form of stress is
- [You Are The Entrepreneur Of Your Life](https://bitnes.top/you-are-the-entrepreneur-of-your-life/) - You are the entrepreneur of your life.From the moment you wake up, from the start of each week, you are in startup mode.What is your mission? What is your life's purpose? (If I asked you, right here and now, to write your life's mission statement, could you do that?)What is your business plan for achieving
- [Focusing on the Quality of Your Reps](https://bitnes.top/focusing-on-the-quality-of-your-reps/) - During my recent workouts at my gym, I've noticed how much more I get out of the weight machines if I take my time going through the reps. I have a standard circuit that I go through, beginning with legs, then upper body, then flexibility. When I slow down my pace at each of the
- [Coaching By Immersion: Surrounding Ourselves With Insight](https://bitnes.top/coaching-by-immersion-surrounding-ourselves-with-insight/) - This weekend has been special. I have immersed myself in books about trading psychology from such authors as Tom Hougaard; Andrew Aziz and Mike Baehr; Steven Goldstein; Steve and Holly Burns; Mark Minervini; Anne-Marie Baiynd; Michael Lamothe; and Jared Tendler. Next weekend will be a fresh crew of authors that I'll immerse myself in and
- [How We Become Successful](https://bitnes.top/how-we-become-successful/) - Success is not the result of motivation.Success is not the result of positive thinking.Success is not guaranteed by talent.Success is built inductively, from the bottom up, by doing one thing after another successfully, day in and day out. We internalize what we consistently do.When we do small things successfully and consistently, we internalize a sense of
- [Beyond Meditation:  Using Biofeedback to Change Behavior Patterns](https://bitnes.top/beyond-meditation-using-biofeedback-to-change-behavior-patterns/) - Very interesting research on neurofeedback (providing people with real time biofeedback readings of brain wave activity) suggests that when people can learn to control their brain waves, they can change even very difficult behavior problems, such as alcohol abuse, traumatic stress, and attention deficits. Evidence suggests that neurofeedback builds our self-regulation. Newer neurofeedback devices can
- [Feeling the Next Trade](https://bitnes.top/feeling-the-next-trade/) - What role does emotion play in helping you trade well?What role does emotion play in disrupting your trading?How does your trading process harness the intuitive feeling that comes from long exposure to markets and their patterns?Two weeks ago I wrote about the trading psychology texts I was reading and what I was learning from those.
- [The Importance of Market Cadence](https://bitnes.top/the-importance-of-market-cadence/) - In my recent post, I discuss a conclusion from the writings of many trading psychologists: that successful active trading requires an intuitive feel for market action. My experience is that looking at relatively static chart patterns or indicator readings does not provide that market feel. A structural view of markets can be informative, but we
- [Great Trading Requires Leadership](https://bitnes.top/great-trading-requires-leadership/) - I would like to build upon the theme of a Forbes article I wrote quite a few years ago. Each of us has many facets to our lives: our trading, our careers, our friendships, our romantic relationships, our families, our community activities, our hobbies, etc. In that sense, our life is an organization, and how
- [How Elite Performance Actually Occurs](https://bitnes.top/how-elite-performance-actually-occurs/) - I believe this is an important post. Much of what has been written about trading psychology--including what I have written about trading psychology--misses an important dimension of elite performance.First, an explanation of the above picture. This is a screenshot from the FreeStyle Libre II blood sugar monitor. It takes real time readings of your blood
- [How Developing Traders Are Most Likely To Succeed](https://bitnes.top/how-developing-traders-are-most-likely-to-succeed/) - I'd like to call attention to a very important dynamic in recent markets. Many experienced traders focused on traditional asset classes, such as rates and currency markets, are struggling with their performance. The ones I meet with who are making money in those spaces are focused on regions of the world that are less crowded
- [Two Important Takeaways From The Recent Stock Market Action](https://bitnes.top/two-important-takeaways-from-the-recent-stock-market-action/) - Update: 7/14/24 - We continued to see breadth strength on Friday and finished the session with 1901 stocks across the NYSE making fresh monthly highs and only 109 registering new monthly lows. This is considerable breadth strength, bolstered by buying of small- and midcap shares. Interestingly, going back to 2010 (over 3400 trading sessions), we've
- [Sound Trading Is Training In Trading Psychology](https://bitnes.top/sound-trading-is-training-in-trading-psychology/) - A sound trading process is a kind of gym where we exercise the functions that contribute to a successful trading psychology.As the recent post illustrated, what we call a "trading process" is actually a number of interwoven processes that push us to exercise our abilities. Idea generation alone may have us analyzing historical information; synthesizing
- [Finding Our Greatness](https://bitnes.top/finding-our-greatness/) - Update: Here's a valuable reading passed along by an experienced, successful trader. It explains how we can make very large gains in any area of life by making small improvements every single day. Note how this builds consistency of mindset, as our daily focus becomes forward-looking and constructive.In an impactful video, Mike Bellafiore at SMB
- [Two Important Lessons From Professional Traders](https://bitnes.top/two-important-lessons-from-professional-traders/) - Here are two key takeaways from successful portfolio managers and traders I've been privileged to work with. 1) Create Multiple Ways to Win - A trader who only knows to go long or short a particular instrument is like a baseball pitcher that only knows how to throw one kind of pitch. There are many ways
- [BRETT STEENBARGER'S TRADING PSYCHOLOGY RESOURCE CENTER](https://bitnes.top/brett-steenbargers-trading-psychology-resource-center/) - Below are resources to help traders become their own trading coaches, improve their trading processes, and develop a positive work-life balance. All the TraderFeed posts also contain links to valuable resources and perspectives. RADICAL RENEWAL - Free blog book on trading, psychology, spirituality, and leading a fulfilling life --- The Three Minute Trading Coach Videos
- [Overcoming Emotional Trading - Part One:  Mental Rehearsal and Stops](https://bitnes.top/overcoming-emotional-trading-part-one-mental-rehearsal-and-stops/) - Unless they are trading very specialized strategies, most traders do not win on significantly more than half of their trades. What makes them profitable is that the average size of their winning trades nicely exceeds the average size of their losers. Indeed, it's not uncommon to see traders make a little or lose a little
- [XM Markets - The Best Forex Brokers](https://bitnes.top/xm-markets-the-best-forex-brokers/) - CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75.33% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.XM Group is a MetaTrader-only
- [Jupiter's Attraction (Modified ST)](https://bitnes.top/jupiters-attraction-modified-st/) - Apply Indicator on TradingView.
- [My first indicator for Crypto](https://bitnes.top/my-first-indicator-for-crypto/) - Simply apply 15 mins chartLook for Buy/Sell signalscheck if they are accompanied with pullbacks, if its already there only then enterSL will be recent swing low/highFix target as your fear n greedDonate to me on TV if its helpful to you.Trading View Link for Indicator
- [True Candlestick Indicator](https://bitnes.top/true-candlestick-indicator/) - Add indicator to your chart on Tradingview.
- [High Accuracy Equity Indicator](https://bitnes.top/high-accuracy-equity-indicator/) - ST Divergence Indicator by Ajeet Singh(Free for personal use only)Points for Trading:✽ To be used only and only for Equities✽ To be used on only 15 mins TF✽ Target is fixed at 0.9%✽ SL is fixed at the most recent swing High/Low✽ But trade is to be picked if SL is lower than 2.15%✽ Only
- [Investment suggestions 19 Jul 2021](https://bitnes.top/investment-suggestions-19-jul-2021/) - ORIENTELEC cmp 333.35, the breakout is at near cmp 330if wanna enter safe then below 300 so your choice(I am invested in it from 100 on the recommendation of Samir Katti)SIRCA if breaks range of 340-385 then 550+SUNDARMHLD small investment can be done at cmp 80 and further below 72 with SL 63for 110+ in
- [Double Bottom Double Top at new Level](https://bitnes.top/double-bottom-double-top-at-new-level/) - This is simple indicator, used for detecting pullbacks and double tops/double bottoms.Refer my posts on telegram on how to use itIndicator is totally free for personal use.Add to Favorites (Click Here)
- ["All in One" Excel Sheet](https://bitnes.top/all-in-one-excel-sheet/) - Access sheet Here
- [List of all Excels](https://bitnes.top/list-of-all-excels/) - Here's list of all my personal excels, which are made public so far: CPR Analysis https://tinyurl.com/22737346 Live PCR https://tinyurl.com/22737336 Stock Daily Movements https://tinyurl.com/22737231 Combined OI Data https://tinyurl.com/22737222 BankNifty Options Analysis https://tinyurl.com/22737223 Nifty Option Analysis https://tinyurl.com/22737224 Live Option Prices (updates every sec) https://sites.google.com/view/niftynearestoptions Stocks to choose for intraday https://tinyurl.com/22737225 Stock Trend Indicator https://tinyurl.com/22737226 Advanced Pivot Point
- [MotiveWave 6.6.7](https://bitnes.top/motivewave-6-6-7/) - motivewave Instructions: Install setup file.Run files crack.exe and crack.bat (in Administrator mode)(crack.bat will write 2 lines to the host file)37.59.176.46 motivewave.com 37.59.176.46 www.motivewave.comYou may want to to check if the 2 lines are written to the host file properlyas sometimes the .bat files could not do so.Copy AA.jar file into motivewavelib folderThis AA.jar should be dated 4/25/2022 and
- [How to import data in MT4](https://bitnes.top/how-to-import-data-in-mt4/) - Download MT4 and install Download NSE stock data:First, open the yahoo finance India page with the above link. Then in the search bar type the NSE BSE or MCX stock symbol name. It will show all stock exchange date for that selected stock symbol.With the picture below for CIPLA, CIPLA is listed in many stock exchange
- [Live data from MT4 to Excel](https://bitnes.top/live-data-from-mt4-to-excel/) - You can export live data from MT4 to excel by enabling DDE server inside MT4 and connect MT4 with excel where you get live price quotes into excel file.It is a simple process where you get an excel file with the data filled automatically. The data you get you can easily use in your favor in Excel file and make analysis.You can use
- [NinjaTrader 8](https://bitnes.top/ninjatrader-8/) - The Order Flow + suite of premium features available for NinjaTrader 8 gives you tools to analyze trade activity using order flow, volumetric bars & market depth.Identify buying & selling pressure to confirm market movement in a specific direction as the trading action unfolds through visualization of the order flow.Volumetric BarsVolumetric bars track buyers and
- [BOOKMAP Trading](https://bitnes.top/bookmap-trading/) - It doesn’t matter if you’re a scalper, swing trader, or another type of day trader. As traders, we all have one thing in common - to find an edge in the market. Our pioneering order flow trading software has been designed to give you just that.Gain real-time order flow insight using the fully configurable limit
- [Realtime Datafeed for Amibroker](https://bitnes.top/realtime-datafeed-for-amibroker/) - To run Real Time Feeder you need to install JRE - Java Runtime Environment. Java Runtime Environment is required because this Software is developed in Java and every java program needs JVM to run. JRE is available for FREE. Click here to download JRE for free. After the download install the JRE. Help FileDownload this utility and test yourself for
- [Perceptrader AI (EA based on chatgpt)](https://bitnes.top/perceptrader-ai-ea-based-on-chatgpt/) - Perceptrader AI is a cutting-edge grid trading system that leverages the power of Artificial Intelligence, utilizing Deep Learning algorithms and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to analyze large amounts of market data at high speed and detect high-potential trading opportunities to exploit.Supported currency pairs: NZDUSD, USDCAD, AUDNZD, AUDCAD, NZDCAD, GBPCHFTimeframe: M5Features:Trend, Momentum and Volatility filters based on Deep Learning algorithmsFiltering low potential trades
- [HAST by Ajeet](https://bitnes.top/hast-by-ajeet/) - Signals are valid if wicks of both type of candles are not touching.Trend is strong till candles are far.The movement they overlap, denotes that trend is fading.Apply on Chart
- [MZ Pack for NT8](https://bitnes.top/mz-pack-for-nt8/) - FeaturesTwo-sided Footprint – independent Left and Right Footprints for each barFootprint styles: Bid x Ask, Volume, Delta, TradesNumberOptional Tape Reconstruction (aggregation of order flow)Filters: Trade/Reconstructed trade volume filter (min/max) and Display filterBar Statistics: Volume, Delta, Min/Max Delta, Delta %, COT (read about COT)Patterns search: Imbalance and Absorption with quantity filters, Unfinished AuctionAutomatic Support/Resistance Zones based on Imbalance and Absorption patterns with AlertsCluster Zones: Low Volume Nodes (LVN), High Volume Nodes
- [Footprint Insights](https://bitnes.top/footprint-insights/) - Basics of order matching mechanismTo deeply understand Footprint/Orderflow concepts... first, more important than auction theory is the order matching mechanism, a mandatory element that occurs in every "auction".Very basic, we can understand as follows:1. Basic order types: basic orders are orders that any trading platform uses, or we can simply see them commonly on the
- [Auto Detect Patterns in Amibroker](https://bitnes.top/auto-detect-patterns-in-amibroker/) - // @passiontrader_SECTION_BEGIN("Head and Shoulder");// Bullish + Bearish Head and Shoulder pattern SetOption("MaxOpenPositions",10);PositionSize=-5;SetTradeDelays(0,0,0,0);procedure exitLoop_proc(Buy,BuyPrice,buDeltaProfitTarget,buStopLossLevel,buNeckline,Short,ShortPrice,beDeltaProfitTarget,beStopLossLevel,beNeckline,Maxbars){global BuyAdjusted;global BuyPriceAdjusted;global ShortAdjusted;global ShortPriceAdjusted;global SellAdjusted;global SellPriceAdjusted;global CoverAdjusted;global CoverPriceAdjusted;global LongStopTrail;global ShortStopTrail;global LongTarget;global ShortTarget;BuyAdjusted=0;BuyPriceAdjusted=0;ShortAdjusted=0;ShortPriceAdjusted=0;SellAdjusted=0;SellPriceAdjusted=0;CoverAdjusted=0;CoverPriceAdjusted=0;LongStopTrail=Null;ShortStopTrail=Null;LongTarget=Null;ShortTarget=Null;for(i=1;i
- [Nifty Single Day Crashes](https://bitnes.top/nifty-single-day-crashes/) - Top 15 Biggest Nifty One-Day Falls (Crashes) in terms of Absolute points:23-Mar-2020 – Nifty fell by -1135.2 points (or -12.98%)12-Mar-2020 – Nifty fell by -868.25 points (or -8.30%)24-Feb-2022 – Nifty fell by -815.30 points (or -4.78%)16-Mar-2020 – Nifty fell by -757.80 points (or -7.61%)26-Feb-2021 – Nifty fell by -568.20 points (or -3.76%)04-May-2020 – Nifty fell by -566.4 points (or -5.74%)09-Mar-2020 – Nifty fell by -538
- [Matrix Profile and Weakly Labelled Data - 2nd and Final Update](https://bitnes.top/matrix-profile-and-weakly-labelled-data-2nd-and-final-update/) - It has been over three months since my last post, which was intended to be the first in a series of posts on the subject of the title of this post. However, it turned out that the results of my work were underwhelming and so I decided to stop flogging a dead horse and move onto
- [OrderBook and PositionBook Features](https://bitnes.top/orderbook-and-positionbook-features/) - In my previous post I talked about how I planned to use constrained optimization to create features from Oanda's OrderBook and PositionBook data, which can be downloaded via their API. In addition to this I have also created a set of features based on the idea of Order Flow Imbalance (OFI), a nice exposition of which is given
- [A Possible, New Positionbook Indicator?](https://bitnes.top/a-possible-new-positionbook-indicator/) - In my previous post I ended with saying that I would post about some sort of "sentiment indicator" if, and only if, I had something positive to say about my progress on this work. This post is the first on this subject.The indicator I'm working on is based on the open position ratios data that is available
- [Simple Machine Learning Models on OrderBook/PositionBook Features](https://bitnes.top/simple-machine-learning-models-on-orderbook-positionbook-features/) - This post is about using OrderBook/PositionBook features as input to simple machine learning models after previous investigation into the relevance of such features. Due to the amount of training data available I decided to look only at a linear model and small neural networks (NN) with a single hidden layer with up to 6 hidden neurons. This
- [A New PositionBook Chart Type](https://bitnes.top/a-new-positionbook-chart-type/) - It has been almost 6 months since I last posted, due to working on a house renovation. However, I have still been thinking about/working on stuff, particularly on analysis of open position ratios. I had tried using this data as features for machine learning, but my thinking has evolved somewhat and I have reduced my
- [PositionBook Chart Example Trade](https://bitnes.top/positionbook-chart-example-trade/) - As a quick follow up to my previous post I thought I'd show an example of how one could possibly use my new PositionBook chart as a trade set-up. Below is the USD_CHF forex pair for the last two daysshowing the nice run-up yesterday and then the narrow range of Friday's Asian session.The tentative set-up
- [Kalman Filter and Sensor Fusion.](https://bitnes.top/kalman-filter-and-sensor-fusion/) - In the Spring of 2012 and again in the Spring of 2019 I posted a series of posts about the Kalman Filter, which readers can access via the blog archive on the right. In both cases I eventually gave up those particular lines of investigation because of disappointing results. This post is the first in a
- [Currency Strength Revisited](https://bitnes.top/currency-strength-revisited/) - Recently I responded to a Quantitative Finance forum question here, where I invited the questioner to peruse certain posts on this blog. Apparently the posts do not provide enough information to fully answer the question (my bad) and therefore this post provides what I think will suffice as a full and complete reply, although perhaps not
- [Quick Update on Kalman Filter and Sensor Fusion](https://bitnes.top/quick-update-on-kalman-filter-and-sensor-fusion/) - Managed to code it up and get it working, but at the end of the day I couldn't see any value added over just averaging the output of the indicators I was trying to fuse together via Kalman filtering. As a result, I'm giving up on this for now and looking at other things.More in
- [Update to PositionBook Chart - Revised Optimisation Method](https://bitnes.top/update-to-positionbook-chart-revised-optimisation-method/) - Just over a year ago I previewed a new chart type which I called a "PositionBook Chart" and gave examples in this post and this one. These first examples were based on an optimisation routine over 6 variables using Octave's fminunc function, an unconstrained minimisation routine. However, I was not 100% convinced that the model
- [Judging the Quality of Indicators.](https://bitnes.top/judging-the-quality-of-indicators/) - In my previous post I said I was trying to develop new indicators from the results of my new PositionBook optimisation routine. In doing so, I need to have a methodology for judging the quality of the indicator(s). In the past I created a Data-Snooping-Tests-GitHub which contains some tests for statistical significance testing and which,
- [Standard "Volume based" Indicators Replaced with PositionBook Data](https://bitnes.top/standard-volume-based-indicators-replaced-with-positionbook-data/) - In my previous post I suggested three different approaches to using PositionBook data other than directly using this data to create new, unique indicators. This post is about the first of the aforementioned ideas: modifying existing indicators that somehow incorporate volume in their construction.The indicators I've chosen to look at are the Accumulation and Distribution index,
- [Indicator(s) Derived from PositionBook Data](https://bitnes.top/indicators-derived-from-positionbook-data/) - Since my last post I have been trying to create new indicators from PositionBook data but unfortunately I have had no luck in doing so. I have have tried differences, ratios, cumulative sums, logs and control charts to no avail and I have decided to discontinue this line of investigation because it doesn't seem to hold much
- [A "New" Use for Kalman Filter on Price Time Series?](https://bitnes.top/a-new-use-for-kalman-filter-on-price-time-series/) - During the course of writing this blog I have visited the idea of using Kalman filters several times, most recently in this February 2023 post. My motivation in these previous posts could best be described as trying to smooth price data with as little lag as possible, i.e. create a zero-lag indicator. In doing so,
- [Trading Forex News](https://bitnes.top/trading-forex-news/) - This post, as the title suggests, is about trading forex news releases and, incidently, is a small update to the appearances of my PositionBook chart and OrderLevels chart.I recently came across this forexfactory post which shows how to download the underlying data for the forexfactory calendar, a screenshot of which is shown immediately below, and I
- [Initial Test of Trading Forex News Announcements](https://bitnes.top/initial-test-of-trading-forex-news-announcements/) - My first test of trading forex news announcements is to test the efficacy of breakouts immediately following a news announcement related to the US dollar, specifically, only the high impact news as shown on the forexfactory calendar in red. The intention would be to capture some of the profit available from the big movements resulting from
- [JustMarkets - The Best Forex Brokers](https://bitnes.top/justmarkets-the-best-forex-brokers/) - JustMarkets – The company decided to expand its area of ​​activity focusing on creating a convenient and transparent trading environment not only for the currency but also in other markets: indices, metals, energies, Crypto, stocks, and so on.The company also provides its in-house developed Social trading service, JustMarkets Copytrading, which allows investors to copy the deals of the most
- [Downloading Dukascopy Tick Data with Node Library](https://bitnes.top/downloading-dukascopy-tick-data-with-node-library/) - As part of my investigations into forex news trading I have found it necessary to obtain forex tick level data for back testing purposes and below I provide code to achieve this using Dukascopy's Node library, being called from Octave and using some system calls. A useful youtube video about the Dukascopy Node library will give readers some
- [Using Oanda's API to Place Entry Orders](https://bitnes.top/using-oandas-api-to-place-entry-orders/) - Since my last post about end of initial testing I have been working on Oanda API functions in Octave to programmatically place entry orders and associated take profit and stop orders for a future possible forex news trading system. The reason for this is simple - it would be next to impossible to manually place
- [End of Initial Tests of Trading Forex News Announcements](https://bitnes.top/end-of-initial-tests-of-trading-forex-news-announcements/) - Following on from my previous post I have completed the same tests as outlined in that post on other currencies and the summary results are:USD - an average of 0.38% return per tradeEUR - an average of 0.22% return per tradeGBP - an average of 0.77% return per tradeCHF - an average of 2.05% return per
- [A Quick Trading Self-Assessment](https://bitnes.top/a-quick-trading-self-assessment/) - Here's a checklist to guide your evaluation of yourself as a trader:1) What did I learn from today, and how--specifically--will I bring that lesson to tomorrow's trading?2) What do I see in markets that others don't see and what am I seeing uniquely in the market right now?3) When is not trading the right decision
- [The Key To A Successful Life](https://bitnes.top/the-key-to-a-successful-life/) - Let's start with the conclusion: The only path to a successful life is to live a success-full life.I've been reading a number of books summarizing recent research in positive psychology and will sharing the major conclusions in my next book.One conclusion especially stands out: The various attitudes and activities that lead to a happy and
- [Positive Trading Psychology - III:  Framework](https://bitnes.top/positive-trading-psychology-iii-framework/) - The first post in this three-part series on positive trading psychology emphasized the emotional and physical side of optimal performance, which has been called flourishing. The second post looked at the cognitive side of trading success, including the development of focus and deeper, faster processing of information. In this post, we'll examine the importance of
- [Broad Selling After A Broad Advance:  What Happens Next?](https://bitnes.top/broad-selling-after-a-broad-advance-what-happens-next/) - On Friday, we saw something unusual. After the day's steep drop, we finished the day with fewer than 10% of SPX stocks closing above their 3, 5, and 10-day moving averages. At the same time, by Friday's close, we still saw more than 50% of those shares trading above their 100 and 200-day averages. Since
- [Positive Trading Psychology - II:  Focus](https://bitnes.top/positive-trading-psychology-ii-focus/) - The first post in this series on positive trading psychology took a look at flourishing and what we need to do in order to maximize our performance in life and markets. When we establish flourishing as a personal and professional goal, we move past the preoccupation with our mistakes and instead learn to make the most
- [Positive Trading Psychology - I:  Flourishing](https://bitnes.top/positive-trading-psychology-i-flourishing/) - In the next several posts, I will outline an approach to trading psychology based upon recent research in the field of "positive psychology". I believe this can be a game-changer for many traders and trading teams.To use the analogy of positive psychology's founding researcher, Dr. Martin Seligman, the goal of positive psychology is not to
- [Investing in Your Trading Psychology](https://bitnes.top/investing-in-your-trading-psychology/) - There is a very important difference between acting on desire and acting on commitment, as anyone in a successful long-term romantic relationship can attest. If a relationship is only about desire, it quickly burns out and fails when circumstances call for commitment. Successful relationships translate desire into commitment: it is because someone is incredibly emotionally
- [My Big Takeaway From The SMB Annual Event](https://bitnes.top/my-big-takeaway-from-the-smb-annual-event/) - It was great getting back to SMB Capital and being part of their first ever annual trading event. I was especially impressed with the expanded mentoring being offered to developing traders. This includes virtual "office hours" meetings to discuss trading in real time; intensive step-by-step teaching of successful trades from Lance Breitstein; and detailed modeling
- [Trading Psychology Links:  Finding Your Edge](https://bitnes.top/trading-psychology-links-finding-your-edge/) - * Setting just one goal for change and working on it consistently for at least a month: it doesn't lead to revolutionary change, but it creates the evolutionary change that lasts.* Very interesting research from Concretum Research regarding time of day when SPX tends to make intraday highs and lows. Not too surprising that highs
- [How to Change Your Psychology](https://bitnes.top/how-to-change-your-psychology/) - We internalize what we do consistently.If we consistently avoid effort, we will internalize lack of initiative. If we consistently reach out to others with love, we will internalize warmth and caring. Change begins with doing. Simply shifting goals or mindsets will not produce lasting change.Notice how athletes work out in structured routines. Surgeons learn their
- [Trading Psychology Links:  Developing Yourself by Developing Your Self](https://bitnes.top/trading-psychology-links-developing-yourself-by-developing-your-self/) - * Every trade plan is an opportunity to work on our psychology, training us to act on opportunity and not react to fear; * Lance Breitstein does a great job of explaining why success in trading requires investment in ourselves;* Such a valuable point from Adam Fiske: What indicators/signals do you track regularly to tell you
- [How to Deal With the Fear of Not Being Right](https://bitnes.top/how-to-deal-with-the-fear-of-not-being-right/) - It's one of the great paradoxes of psychology that when we run from something we fear, we are most likely to encounter it. The important principle here is that we internalize what we do. When we act on a particular premise, we reinforce that premise in our minds. Thus, when we run from a feared
- [Trading Psychology Links:  Finding Our Optimal Performance Mindset](https://bitnes.top/trading-psychology-links-finding-our-optimal-performance-mindset/) - The right mindset won't substitute for a rigorously developed edge in the markets, but the wrong one can certainly undo all our training and experience. Here are some valuable trading psychology perspectives that can help you make the most out of your experience:* It's not enough to control our emotions and stick to time-tested processes.
- [Mastering the Positive Psychology of Trading](https://bitnes.top/mastering-the-positive-psychology-of-trading/) - Working on mastering the psychology of trading is different for beginning/developing traders and for experienced traders. I have worked with rookies at proprietary trading firms, and I have worked with experienced money managers who guide large teams. The psychological challenges faced by the two groups are entirely different. What you need to do to master
- [Trading Psychology Links:  Sustaining a Resilient Mindset](https://bitnes.top/trading-psychology-links-sustaining-a-resilient-mindset/) - Resilience is not the absence of stress, but rather the ability to channel stress toward greater performance. Here are some worthwhile perspectives on resilience in trading:* How we learn trading can also be how we learn resilience;* Here's an excellent thread from Dr. Steven Goldstein re: how resilience comes from aligning our trading with our
- [How to Overcome Performance Pressure](https://bitnes.top/how-to-overcome-performance-pressure/) - I'm hearing from more traders than usual about their struggles with performance anxiety. As one successful developing trader put it, the problem tends to happen "on high profile trades that you could say most traders have an eye on". This is a very good observation. The higher profile the trade--i.e., the greater the perceived opportunity--the
- [Where Does Trading Edge Come From?](https://bitnes.top/where-does-trading-edge-come-from/) - It's been interesting returning from my sabbatical and rejoining the online world of trading. So much noise, so much noise, and yet there are gems out there. Kudos to the sharing of original research from Concretum Research. It is a joy to find social media posts that share ideas and address our highest aspirations to
- [Three Best Practices of Successful Traders](https://bitnes.top/three-best-practices-of-successful-traders/) - With this post, I'll be taking an extended sabbatical in order to complete my next book and related projects. I thought a worthy final post would summarize the best practices of traders who have experienced success in 2023, with the aim of improving yourself and your trading processes in 2024.Best Practice #1: Moving From Reactive
- [Can This Market Rally Continue?](https://bitnes.top/can-this-market-rally-continue/) - The U.S. stock market has rallied sharply off its late October lows, bringing us to fresh highs in several large cap indexes. On Thursday we saw particular breadth strength with over 2500 stocks across the major indexes registering fresh monthly highs and over 1700 making new three-month highs. At the same time, only 188 and
- [Establishing Targets For Our Trades](https://bitnes.top/establishing-targets-for-our-trades/) - Recently, I've heard from a number of traders regarding the challenge of establishing effective targets for their trades. What has been happening in most of these situations is that a trade will go the trader's way and be profitable. That leads the trader to hope for further gains and sometimes even add to the position.
- [Where I See Opportunity: In The Market And In Ourselves](https://bitnes.top/where-i-see-opportunity-in-the-market-and-in-ourselves/) - Note: This post is a summary of the webinar I held with traders this past Monday.I've been involved in trading the U.S. stock market since 1977. My professional work with traders began in 2003 and continues to this day. So I've seen my share of markets, and I've seen quite a bit in terms of
- [Building Yourself By Building Your Trading](https://bitnes.top/building-yourself-by-building-your-trading/) - The common view in trading psychology is that we can work on ourselves and that will help us better weather the ups and downs, risks and rewards, of markets. Certainly that is true: as I describe in The Daily Trading Coach book, there are many research-backed techniques in psychology that provide tools for handling stress,
- [Developing Spirituality Through Our Trading - Free Webinar](https://bitnes.top/developing-spirituality-through-our-trading-free-webinar/) - Radical Renewal is an online book written in blog format. Each blog post is a chapter, covering a topic we rarely consider: the spirituality of trading. About a year ago, I wrote a popular post on "Evidence-Based Spirituality", detailing how spiritual practices have been found to boost our emotional and physical well-being. Still, the concept
- [Best Practices in Trading Psychology:  Consistency, Innovation, and Balance](https://bitnes.top/best-practices-in-trading-psychology-consistency-innovation-and-balance/) - Traders I've observed over the years who have achieved consistent success display three important qualities:1) They trade with repeatable processes, so that their trades are planned and not reactive. They have clear, structured ways of generating ideas, and they have clear structured ways of finding optimal expressions of their ideas; sizing positions based on those
- [Self Respect:  The Missing Ingredient in Our Efforts to Grow](https://bitnes.top/self-respect-the-missing-ingredient-in-our-efforts-to-grow/) - A friendship or romantic relationship can get through many ups and downs. At times, during our hurt, it can feel as though our affection has vanished. Often, however, we can return to closeness because our very hurt tells us we care. Indeed, relationships can grow stronger from periods of disappointment.What relationships cannot survive is a
- [How To Transcend Trauma](https://bitnes.top/how-to-transcend-trauma/) - Recently, I've been privileged to speak via Zoom with a number of those directly impacted by the Middle Eastern conflict. It's been a dramatic reminder of how strong people can be, even when they feel overwhelmed and broken. Most of us have been through a life event that has had traumatic impact, whether it be
- [How to Achieve the Goals You Set](https://bitnes.top/how-to-achieve-the-goals-you-set/) - One of the most widely read TraderFeed posts in the last few years dealt with the topic of FIGS: Focused, Intensive Goal Setting. Too often, the goals that we set are not much more than good intentions. New Year's resolutions are a notorious example. How can we become better at actually achieving the goals we
- [Understanding Bitness Trading: A Beginner's Guide](https://bitnes.top/understanding-bitness-trading-a-beginners-guide/) - IntroductionIn recent years, cryptocurrency has gained significant popularity and has become a hot topic in the financial world. One of the most fascinating aspects of cryptocurrency is bitness trading. If you are new to the world of cryptocurrency and want to learn more about bitness trading, you have come to the right place.What is Bitness
- [The Ins and Outs of Bitness Trading](https://bitnes.top/the-ins-and-outs-of-bitness-trading/) - Are you interested in exploring the world of cryptocurrency trading? Well, you're in luck because today we are going to dive into the exciting world of Bitness trading! In this blog post, we will explore the basics of Bitness trading, how it works, and some tips to help you get started.What is Bitness Trading?Bitness trading
- [Understanding Bitness Trading: A Comprehensive Guide](https://bitnes.top/understanding-bitness-trading-a-comprehensive-guide/) - As the world of finance continues to evolve, new concepts and terms are introduced to the market. One such concept that has gained significant attention in recent years is Bitness trading. In this comprehensive guide, we will delve into the world of Bitness trading, exploring what it is, how it works, and its potential benefits
- [Two Questions to Ask in a Weak Stock Market](https://bitnes.top/two-questions-to-ask-in-a-weak-stock-market/) - I'm looking forward this week to speaking with developing traders at SMB Capital, where I will share many of the lessons I've learned working with successful portfolio managers and teams at top hedge funds. For those interested in hearing some of those lessons, I'll also be talking with My Investing Club at 4:15 PM ET
- [Why Traders Are Losing Money In Recent Markets](https://bitnes.top/why-traders-are-losing-money-in-recent-markets/) - We detect strength in the stock market and we buy. We detect weakness and we sell. Both occasions lose money. What is going on? In this post, we will take a look at market behavior and how market patterns themselves create trading psychology challenges. The common assumption is that, if we can just maintain a
- [How to Lead a Visionary Life](https://bitnes.top/how-to-lead-a-visionary-life/) - The great risk in life is to live reactively, bouncing from activity to activity without plan or purpose. When we live purposeful lives, life becomes meaningful--and that gives us energy. Suppose we were to begin our days, weeks, and months by posing questions:* What is the one thing I most want to accomplish today in
- [The Secret to Overcoming Adversity](https://bitnes.top/the-secret-to-overcoming-adversity/) - Margie and I recently toured Eastern Europe and finished the trip with a tour of the concentration camp at Terezin. During the 3-1/2 years of the camp's existence, thousands of inmates were killed or died of untreated diseases. What I found most memorable were the displays of artworks created by the inmates during their internment. Music,
- [The Wellness Grid:  A Framework For Optimizing Your Trading Psychology](https://bitnes.top/the-wellness-grid-a-framework-for-optimizing-your-trading-psychology/) - Note: Written aboard a ship on the Danube River, traveling to Prague, Czech Republic:Imagine a 3x3 Wellness Grid:On the X axis, we have three dimensions of psychological wellness: 1) Happiness - How much joy we experience;2) Fulfillment - How much satisfaction and pride we experience;3) Energy - How much inspiration and excitement we experience;On the Y
- [Weak Market:  What Comes Next?](https://bitnes.top/weak-market-what-comes-next/) - We've seen a stock market that has been rather weak over the last couple of weeks. Higher interest rates at the long end have particularly impacted rate-sensitive sectors, such as utilities and real estate, and have provided support for the U.S. dollar and dollar-related carry trades. Speculation has shifted from imminent recession to an environment
- [Your Flaw Is Your Strength](https://bitnes.top/your-flaw-is-your-strength/) - While writing my next book, I came across a thought-provoking essay from a well-known Jewish Rabbi, Zalman Schachter-Shalomi. His topic was the opal stone that we see in jewelry.The opal gem consists of small silica spheres and gaps between the spheres, which in one context could be considered flaws. However, the very gaps that occur
- [Why Do I Get Chopped Up In My Trading?](https://bitnes.top/why-do-i-get-chopped-up-in-my-trading/) - The most recent post took a look at why we can perform well in markets, only to suddenly make poor decisions and blow up. Now we'll examine a second common complaint of traders, especially in recent markets: how we can develop good ideas for trades but then get chopped up in actually trading those ideas.
- [Why Do I Blow Up My Trading?](https://bitnes.top/why-do-i-blow-up-my-trading/) - The recent blog post presented ways in which we can listen to our intuitive inner voice as traders. Sometimes, we not only fail to listen to our inner voice, but actively do what we know to be harmful to our trading and our success. We trade well week after week and suddenly oversize a position,
- [Finding and Following Your Inner Voice](https://bitnes.top/finding-and-following-your-inner-voice/) - The recent post took a look at developing uniqueness as a trader, focusing on developing new sources of data and fresh ways of viewing markets. In point of fact, however, there are many ways in which we can approach markets uniquely. One successful money manager recently shared with me ways in which AI can improve
- [Developing Your Uniqueness as a Trader](https://bitnes.top/developing-your-uniqueness-as-a-trader/) - We commonly hear that a key to trading success is being disciplined and remaining grounded in a robust process. That is true, but it is only part of the truth. If we're disciplined in doing the same things as other people, we will simply be more consistent in achieving mediocre returns. Having worked with many
- [Is Your Trading Truly Meaningful?](https://bitnes.top/is-your-trading-truly-meaningful/) - A while back, I wrote a post about research that shows how living a purposeful life is a key to happiness and life satisfaction. That applies to our trading, as well. If we are purposeful about our development as traders, we are most likely to be successful *and* we are most likely to be fulfilled
- [Making the Transition From Discipline to Commitment](https://bitnes.top/making-the-transition-from-discipline-to-commitment/) - How we think, feel, and act at one stage of development in our lives is different from how we approach situations later in life. As a child, I related to my parents as authority figures and (for the most part!) did what they told me. Later, in young adulthood, I related to my parents as
- [How to Advance Your Development as a Trader:  Key Ideas](https://bitnes.top/how-to-advance-your-development-as-a-trader-key-ideas/) - I recently participated with Mike Bellafiore of SMB Capital in an excellent conference organized by TraderLion. The topic of our presentation, which you can watch via video, was trader development: the best ways of improving our performance in financial markets. Here are a few key ideas that we touched upon in the session:1) Your niche
- [The Greatest Challenges of Trading Psychology - III:  Mindset](https://bitnes.top/the-greatest-challenges-of-trading-psychology-iii-mindset/) - In the first post of this series, we took a look at how one of the greatest challenges to our trading psychology comes from approaching the process of expertise development the wrong way, unwittingly creating stresses and trauma that impact our subsequent learning and trading. The second post examined how we often view financial markets
- [The Greatest Challenges of Trading Psychology - II:  Ever-Changing Markets](https://bitnes.top/the-greatest-challenges-of-trading-psychology-ii-ever-changing-markets/) - The first post in this series took a look at how one of the greatest challenges to our trading psychology comes from failing to navigate the process of expertise development. Too often, traders put their capital at risk before they have properly undergone a process of learning grounded in deliberate practice.In many performance fields that
- [The Greatest Challenges of Trading Psychology - I:  Trauma](https://bitnes.top/the-greatest-challenges-of-trading-psychology-i-trauma/) - There is a common assumption among traders that if they are falling short of their performance expectations, it must be because of their mindset. If only they can maintain a positive mind frame, the thinking goes, they will be able to succeed. There is an element of truth of this, and there is an important
- [Greatness as a Mission-Driven Life](https://bitnes.top/greatness-as-a-mission-driven-life/) - A heroic life is one driven by a noble purpose, an all-absorbing sense of mission. Past posts have asked the question, "What is the Path to Your Greatness?" and explored what makes for greatness in life and trading. When we think of life's heroines and heroes, we inevitably focus on people whose lives have been
- [Revisiting the Momentum Curve:  Anticipating Market Turns](https://bitnes.top/revisiting-the-momentum-curve-anticipating-market-turns/) - Back in 2014, I wrote about the Momentum Curve and how it is useful in visualizing market breadth and strength/weakness across different time frames. It's almost nine years later and I have maintained the Momentum Curve database. The dataset goes back to 2006 and captures the percentage of stocks in the SPX universe that are
- [The Art of Asking the Right Questions](https://bitnes.top/the-art-of-asking-the-right-questions/) - Note the premise of the Cooperrider quote above: our questions create our world. If you want to know--truly know--someone, find out the questions they are asking. For years, I've participated in recruitment at hedge funds, helping hire portfolio managers and members of portfolio management teams. In their interviews, many candidates want to talk about what
- [Three Best Practices for Making Lasting Life Changes](https://bitnes.top/three-best-practices-for-making-lasting-life-changes/) - When my colleagues and I reviewed the research literature on psychological change processes, an interesting finding came to light: It's relatively easy to make changes and relatively difficult to sustain those changes. This is best appreciated in the field of addiction psychology, where relapse is viewed as an intrinsic part of the change process. Much
- [How to Assess the Personality of the Stock Market](https://bitnes.top/how-to-assess-the-personality-of-the-stock-market/) - Unsuccessful traders look for markets to trade in a style that fits *their* personality. They look for momentum or trend or reversals of "overbought" or "oversold" moves. By imposing their biases on markets, they become inflexible and unable to adapt when the market's personality changes. Lately, we've seen the stock market's personality shift literally from day
- [What Makes for Success: Five Perspectives From Trading Psychology](https://bitnes.top/what-makes-for-success-five-perspectives-from-trading-psychology/) - Here are a few observations from my recent research and work with traders:1) The success of a trader is directly related to the speed by which they turn losing trades and drawdowns into actionable improvements. The best traders engage in active review processes to ensure that they learn from setbacks. Those reviews also allow them
- [Breadth Thrusts in the Stock Market: What Comes Next?](https://bitnes.top/breadth-thrusts-in-the-stock-market-what-comes-next/) - The previous post noted a late week bounce in stocks that had a defensive quality, with consumer staples and utility shares outpacing stocks in such sectors as energy and consumer discretionary. On Monday there was another bounce, but the percentage of energy shares above their five-day moving averages went from about 22% to almost 96%.
- [Understanding Market Themes From Sector Breadth](https://bitnes.top/understanding-market-themes-from-sector-breadth/) - For years, I have kept breadth data on the overall stock market, tracking shares making fresh highs and lows over various periods and the percentages of stocks trading above their short, medium, and longer-term moving averages. What I've found is that shifts in breadth often precede shifts in overall market direction. This is because certain
- [Making Passion Your Purpose](https://bitnes.top/making-passion-your-purpose/) - This post begins with a music video, old concert footage of Neil Young and company doing "Like a Hurricane". It's a great song, but the important thing is to watch Neil during the two extended guitar solos. This is not someone playing a song; it's the song playing itself through him. The passion with which
- [Broad Stock Market Selloff:  What Comes Next?](https://bitnes.top/broad-stock-market-selloff-what-comes-next/) - If everyone agreed on the value of an asset, there would be no price movement. When price movement becomes volatile, we know that there is meaningful disagreement regarding value. This was an important dynamic in the stock market this past week. Let's see if we can look at the market from a data-driven perspective and
- [The Most Important Factor in Successful Relationships](https://bitnes.top/the-most-important-factor-in-successful-relationships/) - As I emphasized in the Trading Psychology 2.0 book, research in psychology is clear that we are most productive, creative, and successful when we experience high levels of happiness, fulfillment, energy, and closeness to others. This is an important reason why burnout is such a risk in high performance fields. Once we prioritize tasks over
- [The Most Common Weakness I Observe Among Traders](https://bitnes.top/the-most-common-weakness-i-observe-among-traders/) - There is a myth among developing traders that all you need to do for success is find a style of trading that fits your personality and then stick to that style with discipline and consistency.What nonsense.Consider other performance domains, such as basketball or surgery or opera singing. Does a basketball team stick with a single
- [Reaching Your Goals Through Gentle Power](https://bitnes.top/reaching-your-goals-through-gentle-power/) - In her remarkable book Gentle Power, Emilia Elisabet Lahti describes how true leadership requires an integration of strength and power on one hand and love and gentleness on the other. The combination of these qualities creates a trait known in Finland as sisu. It is through sisu that we are able to persevere under challenging
- [Our Physical Experience Shapes Our Mindset](https://bitnes.top/our-physical-experience-shapes-our-mindset/) - In a recent post, I highlighted the role of physical experience in our psychological states. That post raised a fascinating possibility:Could it be the case that, just as we read others through their "body language", we process our experiences of ourselves through our bodily states? What if we are continuously reading our own body language
- [What is the Path to Your Greatness?](https://bitnes.top/what-is-the-path-to-your-greatness/) - Many traders long for great profits. How many do truly great things to achieve those profits? If you were to do the things that would earn unusually positive returns, you would be doing unique things--you would be far from consensus. You would have unique ways of generating ideas and managing the positions based on those
- [Changing Your Trading Psychology By Changing Your Body](https://bitnes.top/changing-your-trading-psychology-by-changing-your-body/) - A fascinating finding from research in psychology is that lasting changes in thought, feeling, and behavior require processing of our experience in states of heightened emotional arousal. When we are in novel modes of consciousness, we become more open to new ways of viewing ourselves and the world. One of the most powerful gateways to
- [What Does Recent Stock Market Strength Tell Us?](https://bitnes.top/what-does-recent-stock-market-strength-tell-us/) - I've found that if you look at enough market indicators, you'll always find reasons to be long or short, and you'll always find reasons to trade. Far better than following a host of canned indicators is constructing a select number of measures that make sense to you and then learning (and backtesting) their ins and
- [Being Honest With Yourself](https://bitnes.top/being-honest-with-yourself/) - The person we long to be is not necessarily the person we're meant to be. Many people pursue ideals that don't represent their true strengths and how they can best succeed. They develop a picture of who they *should* be and work harder and harder at climbing that ladder, only to eventually find it's leading
- [How To Start Your New Year](https://bitnes.top/how-to-start-your-new-year/) - The recent post pointed to how recent research and practice in psychology can help us develop spiritually. Our ability to detect patterns in the world crucially hinges upon our state of consciousness. Jumping from dataset to dataset, trading pattern to trading pattern, and journal entry to journal entry merely adds to the clutter inside our
- [Evidence-Based Spirituality:  Finding Personal Peace](https://bitnes.top/evidence-based-spirituality-finding-personal-peace/) - I'd like to call attention to a most interesting and valuable recent book, Mindful Cognitive Behavioral Therapy by Seth Gillihan, Ph.D. CBT is a popular framework for addressing psychological issues by teaching techniques for changing our thought and action patterns. What is unique in the Gillihan text is the use of CBT to enhance mindful
- [Your Mental Sharpe Ratio](https://bitnes.top/your-mental-sharpe-ratio/) - We are all familiar with the Sharpe Ratio, which calculates the amount of risk that we incur (drawdown) for a given amount of profit. A positive, but low Sharpe means that we've made money over the relevant time period, but that we incurred quite a bit of drawdown along the way. A high, positive Sharpe
- [The Three Essential Sources of Your Trading Edge](https://bitnes.top/the-three-essential-sources-of-your-trading-edge/) - Few concepts in trading are as poorly understood as that of having an "edge". In a literal sense, the idea of edge--in trading, as in poker--means that you have a skill and strategy that provides you with a non-random, probabilistic advantage over other players. Often, however, traders refer to an "edge" if they believe they
- [Trading Consciously](https://bitnes.top/trading-consciously/) - Note: The following is from an essay I wrote a couple of decades ago, recently discovered in a stash of old papers.A therapy for the mentally well begins with the realization that change is impossible while we remain in our habitual states of consciousness. Talking about our problems or working on changing behavior while remaining
- [Relapse Prevention:  A Neglected Topic In Trading Psychology](https://bitnes.top/relapse-prevention-a-neglected-topic-in-trading-psychology/) - A savvy trader at SMB Capital reached out with a dilemma. Each month he creates a new goal to work on, but to his dismay he has found that, once he moves on to a new goal, a previous problem resurfaces! Psychologists refer to this as the problem of relapse. Old patterns of thought, action,
- [Strong Two Day Rally:  What Comes Next?](https://bitnes.top/strong-two-day-rally-what-comes-next/) - We've seen stocks trade solidly higher for the past two trading sessions. What has been notable about the move is not simply how strongly we've bounced, but the breadth of the rise. Notably, we closed the week with over 80% of all SPX stocks trading above their 3, 5, 10, 20, and 50 day moving
- [Trading Psychology Advice - 3: Solution-Focused Trading](https://bitnes.top/trading-psychology-advice-3-solution-focused-trading/) - The first post in this series emphasized the importance of getting the right kind of help--mentoring vs. coaching--for your trading challenges. The second post stressed the value of structuring your learning processes the right way, by first pursuing competence and then by cultivating expertise. In this third and final post, I highlight a valuable approach
- [Trading Psychology Advice - 2:  Pursue Your Development The Right Way](https://bitnes.top/trading-psychology-advice-2-pursue-your-development-the-right-way/) - The greats in any field hear a different music than their peers. That can make them seem a bit crazy. One of my favorite examples occurs when a great musical group completely reinterprets a great song. Consider the folk classic by Joan Baez and then the metal version by Judas Priest. By the time we
- [Trading Psychology Advice - 1:  Get the Right Kind of Help](https://bitnes.top/trading-psychology-advice-1-get-the-right-kind-of-help/) - Many times traders fail to reach their potential because they seek the wrong kinds of help. Early in a trading career, what is needed is mentoring, not primarily psychological coaching. Consider a young person who is early in their development as a baseball player. The most helpful help will come from mentors who are familiar
- [What Trading Cannot Do For Us](https://bitnes.top/what-trading-cannot-do-for-us/) - To paraphrase Ms. Rand, the quest for self-esteem is the surest sign of its absence. A common underlying theme of blog readers who reach out to me is their desperate need for trading success. They don't just want to be consistently profitable; they want to be among the elite of the elite. They proclaim their
- [How Can We Stay Chill In A Volatile Market Environment?](https://bitnes.top/how-can-we-stay-chill-in-a-volatile-market-environment/) - When I began my career working as a performance coach for traders, the first poster I placed in my office was a signed photograph from a military sniper. It showed the sniper lying in the weeds, well camouflaged, and looking dead ahead with rifle poised. The absolute stillness and focus of the well-hidden figure was
- [Creativity in Finding Market Opportunity](https://bitnes.top/creativity-in-finding-market-opportunity/) - As I've emphasized in the Trading Psychology 2.0 book, creativity is essential to success in trading financial markets. Finding opportunity that others don't perceive is the heart of what great traders do. That requires looking at new things and viewing old things in new ways. The very successful participants in markets enjoy creative discovery, and
- [Very Oversold Stock Market:  Is It Time To Buy?](https://bitnes.top/very-oversold-stock-market-is-it-time-to-buy/) - The U.S. stock market is dramatically oversold, with very negative breadth. One way of capturing that is to look at the percentage of stocks in the SPX that are trading above their 3, 5, 10, 20, and 50-day moving averages. That percentage, in each case, is below 10. More than 90% of all stocks are
- [Four Reasons You May Not Be Succeeding In Your Trading](https://bitnes.top/four-reasons-you-may-not-be-succeeding-in-your-trading/) - It is not at all uncommon for traders to feel as though they are falling short of their expectations. Trading is all about risk and reward, and all of us have finite hit and Sharpe ratios. That all but guarantees that there will be periods of drawdown and suboptimal performance. When we chronically underperform our
- [Trading Lesson From a Social Psychology Experiment](https://bitnes.top/trading-lesson-from-a-social-psychology-experiment/) - I recently came across a classic social psychology experiment. The subjects were seminary students and they were told to prepare a talk on the Good Samaritan. Both groups were told that they would be delivering their talk to a group of mentors. The first group was told that they running late to the talk and
- [We Become What We Do](https://bitnes.top/we-become-what-we-do/) - If a movie was being made of your life, what would be the story line? Would it be interesting? Would you want to watch that movie?We do not change by setting goals. Goals can direct the changes we wish to make, but we actually change by doing things differently. What we do, day after day,
- [Four Pieces of Trading Wisdom to Turn Your Trading Psychology Around](https://bitnes.top/four-pieces-of-trading-wisdom-to-turn-your-trading-psychology-around/) - Our perspective--on life and on trading--shapes our experience. We can make trading a stressful roller coaster or we can make trading a rewarding development of our character virtues. Here are four pieces of trading wisdom that have offered me the perspective to approach markets in a healthy, constructive, challenging, and fulfilling way:1) Your uniqueness shapes your
- [Improving Your Trading Psychology By Improving Your Trading](https://bitnes.top/improving-your-trading-psychology-by-improving-your-trading/) - What if you had the patience to wait for clarity in the market's behavior? What if you only traded when a backtested pattern in the market was playing itself out in real time?What if you rigorously reviewed each day's market behavior to become sensitive to the trends and cycles present here and now?What if you didn't
- [The Key to Understanding and Overcoming Trading Tilt](https://bitnes.top/the-key-to-understanding-and-overcoming-trading-tilt/) - I recently spoke on a YouTube video for SMB Capital regarding the dynamics of trading on tilt. The example I gave in order to place the topic in perspective was that of a surgeon. A surgeon performing a delicate procedure might feel frustration if things aren't going smoothly, but the surgeon never allows the frustration
- [Creativity in Analyzing Market Information](https://bitnes.top/creativity-in-analyzing-market-information/) - In a recent video shared by SMB Capital, I discuss why creativity is necessary for trading success. Quite simply, in order to achieve unique returns, we have to be able to perceive and act upon unique opportunity. What we see in markets is a function of where we look. If we're drilling for oil and
- [The Key to a Successful Trading Psychology](https://bitnes.top/the-key-to-a-successful-trading-psychology/) - In recent posts, I have shared my framework for thinking about trading and trading psychology. I've also explained a few core concepts central to this approach, including how active traders can diversify their risk-taking; how to deal with stress in trading; and why volume is key to understanding trading opportunity. In this post, I will
- [The Most Important Piece of Information for Active Traders](https://bitnes.top/the-most-important-piece-of-information-for-active-traders/) - Just about everyone looks at volume, but do they actually *see* volume?Volume tells us who is in the market. Who is in the market determines how the market will move. Since 2019, yesterday's volume in SPY correlates with today's volume by over .80.Since 2019, today's volume correlates with today's high-low range in SPY by a little
- [Three Causes of Trading Stress--And What to Do About Them](https://bitnes.top/three-causes-of-trading-stress-and-what-to-do-about-them/) - Indeed, being stressed is no treat! Stress typically occurs when we perceive threat. That places our bodies in the classic flight-or-fight response, mobilizing for coping with the threat. That mobilization draws blood flow away from our brain's frontal cortex, leaving us least grounded in our center of planning and reasoning just when we most need
- [Finding Success By Diversifying Your Trading](https://bitnes.top/finding-success-by-diversifying-your-trading/) - A lot of trading wisdom repeated by traders is surprisingly unintelligent. A good example is the mantra that it is important to "have a process" for your trading and follow that process religiously. Sounds great--until markets change and the process that worked in one kind of market no longer works. If a business repeated a
- [A Framework for Trading and Trading Psychology](https://bitnes.top/a-framework-for-trading-and-trading-psychology/) - If you were to listen into the conversation of a basketball coach with a player, you would hear quite a bit about how to play the game. The coach might talk about getting back on defense or working harder to get position on rebounds or taking the high percentage shot, but the conversation would be
- [The Difference Between Trading and Investing--And Why It Matters](https://bitnes.top/the-difference-between-trading-and-investing-and-why-it-matters/) - Trading and investing are fundamentally different activities (pun intended). Many trading psychology challenges occur when market participants fail to respect the differences between the two.Trading is a bottom-up activity in which we assess supply and demand moment to moment to determine when buyers or sellers are dominant. This enables us to place short-term trades with
- [Intrinsic and Transactional Relationships:  Why They Are Important to Trading](https://bitnes.top/intrinsic-and-transactional-relationships-why-they-are-important-to-trading/) - In these posts, I attempt to provide perspectives in trading psychology that go beyond the usual platitudes and generalities. Today's topic may seem unusual: how our relationships shape our trading.Consider the distinction between transactional relationships and intrinsic ones. A transactional relationship is one in which each person agrees to do something for the other. In
- [Listening as a Core Trading Skill](https://bitnes.top/listening-as-a-core-trading-skill/) - Last week, we took a look at the challenge of trading markets that are ever-changing. What that means in practice is that good trading begins with open-minded observation. Are we seeing a continuation of previous market behavior, or are we seeing a change? Markets trade thematically. Sometimes the theme is risk-on and everything is trading
- [The Challenge of Adapting to Changing Markets](https://bitnes.top/the-challenge-of-adapting-to-changing-markets/) - A stationary time series is a set of data derived from a single underlying process. A simple example of a stationary time series would be the distribution of values from the rolling of fair dice. Any given roll is not predictable, but the distribution of values over time would be stable. Suppose, however, that we used
- [Common Mistakes Traders Make - 3:  Reacting Rather Than Acting](https://bitnes.top/common-mistakes-traders-make-3-reacting-rather-than-acting/) - It's a common misconception that acting rationally means eradicating emotion from our thought processes. Indeed, the opposite is the case, as psychologist Nathaniel Branden observes. Our greatest ideas are ones that we feel deeply, that resonate with us. That is what traders mean when they refer to having "conviction" in a trade. Our worst trading
- [Common Mistakes Traders Make - 2:  Acting Before Understanding](https://bitnes.top/common-mistakes-traders-make-2-acting-before-understanding/) - In the first post in this series, we took a look at how traders often lose their ideas when their stop levels are hit. In this post, we'll examine a different, but related, cognitive mistake. Many traders will place trades based upon price patterns and "setups" without truly understanding how their market is behaving. This
- [Common Mistakes Traders Make - 1:  Losing Ideas When We Stop Out Of Trades](https://bitnes.top/common-mistakes-traders-make-1-losing-ideas-when-we-stop-out-of-trades/) - Yes, it's true that problems with our mindset can interfere with good trading. It's equally true that bad trading can interfere with our mindset. In coming posts, I will highlight mistakes I see traders make and what we can do about them:The first mistake I see traders make is confusing the idea being traded with
- [How to Change Your Life](https://bitnes.top/how-to-change-your-life/) - An important key to psychological change is turning desired patterns of thought, feeling, and action into positive habit patterns. We don't do this through motivation. We do this by finding ways of being who we want to be every single day, with each day building on the next. Over time, we internalize those changes: they
- [Why Am I Losing Money In The Market?](https://bitnes.top/why-am-i-losing-money-in-the-market/) - I have had a record number of people reach out to me asking for coaching help. Why? The majority have developed their trading in a bull market and have learned to buy market dips. And so they have bought, and bought, and bought--and they have lost a lot of money in the past month. In
- [Making a Fresh Start:  Lessons From Molly Ruth](https://bitnes.top/making-a-fresh-start-lessons-from-molly-ruth/) - Well, it's been about a three-month break from blogging and social media, and I have to say it's been rejuvenating. In any life activity that is important, there is a time for stepping back, taking a good look at what you're doing, and making a fresh start. When we make a fresh start, we can
- [Similique quis a libero enim quod corporis](https://bitnes.top/similique-quis-a-libero-enim-quod-corporis-3/) - Similique quis a libero enim quod corporis saepe quis. Perspiciatis velit quae consectetur consequatur eligendi. Omnis officiis quis culpa possimus exercitationem nesciunt commodi mollitia. Aut eum in est. In facere non. Corporis cumque sapiente deleniti placeat magnam sunt excepturi est sit. Corporis cumque sapiente Est aut sed eaque consequatur rerum nulla maxime tempore voluptate. Rerum
- [Similique quis a libero enim quod corporis](https://bitnes.top/similique-quis-a-libero-enim-quod-corporis-2/) - Similique quis a libero enim quod corporis saepe quis. Perspiciatis velit quae consectetur consequatur eligendi. Omnis officiis quis culpa possimus exercitationem nesciunt commodi mollitia. Aut eum in est. In facere non. Corporis cumque sapiente deleniti placeat magnam sunt excepturi est sit. Corporis cumque sapiente Est aut sed eaque consequatur rerum nulla maxime tempore voluptate. Rerum
- [Est aut sed eaque consequatur rerum](https://bitnes.top/est-aut-sed-eaque-consequatur-rerum/) - Similique quis a libero enim quod corporis saepe quis. Perspiciatis velit quae consectetur consequatur eligendi. Omnis officiis quis culpa possimus exercitationem nesciunt commodi mollitia. Aut eum in est. In facere non. Corporis cumque sapiente deleniti placeat magnam sunt excepturi est sit. Corporis cumque sapiente Est aut sed eaque consequatur rerum nulla maxime tempore voluptate. Rerum
- [Perspiciatis velit quae consectetur conseq](https://bitnes.top/perspiciatis-velit-quae-consectetur-conseq/) - Similique quis a libero enim quod corporis saepe quis. Perspiciatis velit quae consectetur consequatur eligendi. Omnis officiis quis culpa possimus exercitationem nesciunt commodi mollitia. Aut eum in est. In facere non. Corporis cumque sapiente deleniti placeat magnam sunt excepturi est sit. Corporis cumque sapiente Est aut sed eaque consequatur rerum nulla maxime tempore voluptate. Rerum
- [Similique quis a libero enim quod corporis](https://bitnes.top/similique-quis-a-libero-enim-quod-corporis/) - Similique quis a libero enim quod corporis saepe quis. Perspiciatis velit quae consectetur consequatur eligendi. Omnis officiis quis culpa possimus exercitationem nesciunt commodi mollitia. Aut eum in est. In facere non. Corporis cumque sapiente deleniti placeat magnam sunt excepturi est sit. Corporis cumque sapiente Est aut sed eaque consequatur rerum nulla maxime tempore voluptate. Rerum
- [Maecenas porta neque vel quam interdum](https://bitnes.top/maecenas-porta-neque-vel-quam-interdum/) - Similique quis a libero enim quod corporis saepe quis. Perspiciatis velit quae consectetur consequatur eligendi. Omnis officiis quis culpa possimus exercitationem nesciunt commodi mollitia. Aut eum in est. In facere non. Corporis cumque sapiente deleniti placeat magnam sunt excepturi est sit. Corporis cumque sapiente Est aut sed eaque consequatur rerum nulla maxime tempore voluptate. Rerum
- [Taking A Break From Blogging And Social Media](https://bitnes.top/taking-a-break-from-blogging-and-social-media/) - Thanks for all the interest in TraderFeed, my books, and the Three Minute Trading Coach videos. There's quite a library of material available there, and a lot more on performance psychology through the Forbes articles and the spirituality of trading, via the online book Radical Renewal. I'm working on a big new book project and have decided
- [Stages In A Trader's Development](https://bitnes.top/stages-in-a-traders-development/) - A beginning trader starts with eagerness and passion and focuses on winning. The beginner's great fear is to miss opportunity and so the beginner overtrades and eventually takes significant losses. Many traders never move beyond this stage.With experience, the beginning trader recognizes that the goal is not simply making money, but making more money on
- [Trading With Clarity](https://bitnes.top/trading-with-clarity/) - It has become clear to me that clarity underlies my best trading.If I sit and sit and watch and watch and process and process what the market is doing, eventually it will become clear what is going on. I can see that sellers are active and cannot push price lower; I can see that fresh
- [Two Great Questions To Ask During A Trade](https://bitnes.top/two-great-questions-to-ask-during-a-trade/) - What we think about before we put on a trade helps determine our mindset during the life of the trade. When I am trading well, my thinking before the trade focuses on two topics:1) What will tell me the trade is wrong? - Knowing *exactly* what will tell me I'm wrong and where I would
- [Matrix Profile and Weakly Labelled Data - Update 1](https://bitnes.top/matrix-profile-and-weakly-labelled-data-update-1/) - This is the first post in a short series detailing my recent work following on from my previous post. This post will be about some problems I have had and how I partially solved them.The main problem was simply the speed at which the code (available from the companion website) seems to run. The first stage
- [A Different Way Of Viewing Your Trading Problems](https://bitnes.top/a-different-way-of-viewing-your-trading-problems/) - Think about the important relationships in your life.What are the greatest challenges and problems you experience in your relationships? What are your greatest weaknesses in your relationships?Those are what you will repeat in your relationships with markets, and those are what will undermine your success.What are your greatest relationship strengths and your most fulfilling relationship
- [How We Can Improve Our Access To Intuition](https://bitnes.top/how-we-can-improve-our-access-to-intuition/) - The heart of discretionary trading is pattern recognition. Some traders track patterns in fundamental data; some follow price and volume behavior; some attempt to quantify patterns in sentiment and breadth data; some focus on patterns that follow events, such as earnings releases. When we have experienced many examples of patterns, we internalize them and develop
- ["Matrix profile: Using Weakly Labeled Time Series to Predict Outcomes" Paper](https://bitnes.top/matrix-profile-using-weakly-labeled-time-series-to-predict-outcomes-paper/) - Back in May of this year I posted about how I had intended to use Matrix Profile (MP) to somehow cluster the "initial balance" of Market Profile charts with a view to getting a heads up on immediately following price action. Since then, my thinking has evolved due to my learning about the paper "Matrix profile: Using
- [Two Hallmarks Of Quality Trading](https://bitnes.top/two-hallmarks-of-quality-trading/) - I recently wrote an important article on the topic of how the ways in which we trade impact our psychology. We commonly assume that working on our heads will improve our trading. Less often do we recognize that the best way to maintain a positive trading psychology is to trade well.What does it mean to
- [Another Iterative Improvement of my Volume/Market Profile Charts](https://bitnes.top/another-iterative-improvement-of-my-volume-market-profile-charts/) - Below is a screenshot of this new chart version, of today's (Friday's) price action at a 10 minute bar scale:Just by looking at the chart it might not be obvious to readers what has changed, so the changes are detailed below.The first change is in how the volume profile (the horizontal histogram on the left)
- [Awareness and Acceptance in Trading](https://bitnes.top/awareness-and-acceptance-in-trading/) - I had two interesting experiences recently. The first occurred on Friday morning. The stock market was short-term oversold and displaying early signs of strength before the NY open. Prior to the decline, we had been seeing unusually low volume and volatility. I had a string of losing trades during that period. Each time I recognized
- [The Importance of Rejuvenation](https://bitnes.top/the-importance-of-rejuvenation/) - This is one of the great challenges of performance in trading: We need routine ("process") to follow rules and best practices accumulated through experience. We need variation in routine ("creativity") to discover new and better rules and practices. It is important to immerse ourselves in trading and maximize our focus to best apply what we've learned
- [Playing The Right Game](https://bitnes.top/playing-the-right-game/) - A number of traders that contact me are working very hard at improving the "setups" that they trade each day. Often, they're doing a good job of improving their game, but are they necessarily playing the right game?Let's take a look at relevant statistics with the SPY ETF as a market proxy. What we want
- [Intentionality:  Expanding Free Will](https://bitnes.top/intentionality-expanding-free-will/) - The central problem of psychology is what Freud called the "repetition compulsion". We repeat patterns of thought, feeling, and/or behavior even though those repetitions interfere with our happiness and success. We can be fully aware of our maladaptive patterns at certain times and unwittingly repeat them a short while later. Because our intentionality--our capacity for
- [A Simple Strategy For Making Your Trading Better](https://bitnes.top/a-simple-strategy-for-making-your-trading-better/) - Here is a simple scheme for making yourself better as a trader month by month:1) Review your trading for the month. Keeping statistics on your trading is an excellent way of doing this. How many winning and losing trades did you have? What were the average sizes of your winning and losing trades? How did
- [Learning From Our Best Trades](https://bitnes.top/learning-from-our-best-trades/) - Please note: I will be discussing this topic in greater length during my Sunday evening podcast with Better System Trader live. You can use the link to sign up; the session will be held on Sunday, July 11th at 8 PM ET / 7 PM Central.Since the writing of Trading Psychology 2.0, I have emphasized
- [Market Profile Low Volume Node Chart](https://bitnes.top/market-profile-low-volume-node-chart/) - As a diversion to my recent work with Matrix Profile I have recently completed work on a new chart type in Octave, namely a Market Profile Low Volume Node (LVN) chart, two slightly different versions of which are shown below.This first one is derived from a TPO chart, whilst the nextis derived from a Volume profile chart.The horizontal
- [Asking Good Questions In Your Trading](https://bitnes.top/asking-good-questions-in-your-trading/) - In recent meetings with traders, I've heard a similar question: When are stocks going to come down? Those traders have been frustrated by the seeming steady march higher, as time and again, they have tried to sell "overbought" stocks and indexes.When I hear the same question again and again, I've found it's usually the wrong
- [FIGS:  Focused, Intensive Goal Setting](https://bitnes.top/figs-focused-intensive-goal-setting/) - Many traders that I work with involve me in their performance reviews. Sometimes they create weekly reviews, sometimes monthly or quarterly. Invariably these reviews summarize what they did wrong over this period and how they could improve. They set lots of goals, but then that's often the last I hear about those goals until the
- [Finding Better Edges In Your Trading](https://bitnes.top/finding-better-edges-in-your-trading/) - I thought I would do something different with this blog and actually chronicle the development of new edges in my trading. I'll post my successes and failures and learning lessons, with an eye toward trading psychology and also the psychology of the things I'm trading.One lesson that I've learned from working with the traders at
- [How To Innovate In Your Trading](https://bitnes.top/how-to-innovate-in-your-trading/) - Very little has been written in trading psychology about innovation. And yet, wherever I've encountered traders and portfolio managers with longstanding track records of success, I've seen evidence of innovation. The innovator is the one who asks really good questions, really original questions. The innovator is the one who sees changes in market behavior and
- [How We Sabotage Our Trading](https://bitnes.top/how-we-sabotage-our-trading/) - Above you can see the floor of my office, where well over 30 books are in various stages of being read--simultaneously! My technique for writing is to read and read and read different authors on a given topic and eventually something jumps out at me as an integrating idea. It's really no different from looking
- [Three Steps To Avoid Trading On Tilt](https://bitnes.top/three-steps-to-avoid-trading-on-tilt/) - I hear many traders early in their development wrestling with issues of emotional, reactive trading. Here are three practical steps that can help traders avoid going on "tilt":1) Plan Your Losses - Big expectations lead to big frustrations. Every trade should be accompanied by a very specific idea of what would tell you you're wrong
- [Update on Recent Matrix Profile Work](https://bitnes.top/update-on-recent-matrix-profile-work/) - Since my previous post, on Matrix Profile (MP), I have been doing a lot of online reading about MP and going back to various source papers and code that are available at the UCR Matrix Profile page. I have been doing this because, despite my initial enthusiasm, the R tsmp package didn't turn out to be
- [Short-Term Trading With The NYSE TICK - Part Three](https://bitnes.top/short-term-trading-with-the-nyse-tick-part-three/) - The first post in this series and the second post took a look at the NYSE TICK and its relationship to price action as a way of identifying: a) whether buyers or sellers are dominating the market and b) the degree to which their buying or selling activity is actually able to move the market
- [Short-Term Trading With The NYSE TICK - Part Two](https://bitnes.top/short-term-trading-with-the-nyse-tick-part-two/) - In the first post in this series, we took a look at the NYSE TICK and how it measures the moment to moment sentiment in the overall market. We also took a look at a pattern with edge, where buying pressure in the market cannot take prices higher. Eventually, those buyers are forced out of
- [Short-Term Trading With The NYSE TICK - Part One](https://bitnes.top/short-term-trading-with-the-nyse-tick-part-one/) - So much of intraday trading boils down to pattern recognition. When you view market activity day after day, year after year, you internalize patterns that recur. Those can provide a meaningful edge in trading.As long-term TraderFeed readers know, one of my favorite market indicators is the NYSE TICK (shown above; $TICK on most platforms). The
- [How To Network Successfully](https://bitnes.top/how-to-network-successfully/) - I want to thank the traders who participated in the first Traders' Virtual Happy Hour session on Sunday evening. Over time, these efforts will get better and better at connecting traders with others to accelerate development and improve performance. At the networking event, I presented two unique edges in the stock market and we heard
- [Six Relevant Pieces of Trading Wisdom](https://bitnes.top/six-relevant-pieces-of-trading-wisdom/) - Here are six pieces of trading wisdom that I might touch upon in Sunday evening's happy hour session:1) Ego is our self-talk. Our wisdom comes when we stop talking to ourselves and let markets speak to us.2) In stable market conditions, we work to refine our game. In changing market conditions, we find new games
- [Your Invitation to the First Virtual Happy Hour for Traders](https://bitnes.top/your-invitation-to-the-first-virtual-happy-hour-for-traders/) - How would you like an entirely new way of preparing for the trading week? I know I would like that, so I'm creating a new approach to teamwork for independent traders. It's a way of joining a team and benefiting from the insights of others no matter where you live or how you trade.I encourage
- [Know Your Cognitive Strengths](https://bitnes.top/know-your-cognitive-strengths/) - How do you best process information?Have you ever taken the time to understand what your cognitive strengths are?How consistently do you play to your information processing strengths in your trading?When you study your best learning, when you study your best trades, you can uncover your best information processing.I'm currently writing a new book. To write
- [When Doing Less Is More](https://bitnes.top/when-doing-less-is-more/) - A wise portfolio manager recently forwarded this article to me. The gist of its message is that we often look to improve our lives--and our processes--by adding to them. We operate on the implicit premise that more is better, so that when we seek change, we gravitate toward doing more things.In my recent Forbes article,
- [Thinking Through A Traders' Happy Hour](https://bitnes.top/thinking-through-a-traders-happy-hour/) - Prior to the pandemic, I hosted occasional craft beer happy hour sessions with traders from various backgrounds and firms. I have always found that such gatherings are helpful in multiple ways, socially and professionally. Smart, motivated people love to share ideas and learn from one another. That creates a rich environment for personal and professional
- [What Is Market Breadth Telling Us?](https://bitnes.top/what-is-market-breadth-telling-us/) - A few weeks back, I posted re: market sentiment and noted that sellers were notably unable to push the market lower. That situation led to a nice rise to new highs in SPY/ES. Now we see a very different situation. On Thursday, we broke the 4000 level in SPX, but interestingly, we had 334 stocks
- [How To Trade With Focus](https://bitnes.top/how-to-trade-with-focus/) - Here is a link to the recent webinar I conducted with FuturesTrader71 and Futures.io. One of the topics that came up was dealing with emotionality during trading. Morad made the excellent point that we are most apt to respond to markets emotionally if we become too attached to the profits and losses of each trade.
- [Quick option trades in morning](https://bitnes.top/quick-option-trades-in-morning/) - Rajdhani Express Trading view indicator
- [Ask The Trading And Trading Psychology Questions Top On Your Mind](https://bitnes.top/ask-the-trading-and-trading-psychology-questions-top-on-your-mind/) - It's been a busy few weeks, and I've largely taken a break from social media and educational programs in order to focus on my own trading. Among the areas I've been working on are:* Using the trading psychology of market participants to read intraday and longer-term patterns in the stock market;* Refining the use of
- [Market/Volume Profile and Matrix Profile](https://bitnes.top/market-volume-profile-and-matrix-profile/) - A quick preview of what I am currently working on: using Matrix Profile to search for time series motifs, using the R tsmp package. The exact motifs I'm looking for are the various "initial balance" set ups of Market Profile charts. To do so, I'm concentrating the investigation around both the London and New York opening
- [Heikin Ashi - A smoother way to see charts](https://bitnes.top/heikin-ashi-a-smoother-way-to-see-charts/) - Simple Heikin ashi with ST (v 1.0)Add it to your favourites and enjoyCLICK HERE
- [Tracking Sentiment And Market Impact](https://bitnes.top/tracking-sentiment-and-market-impact/) - If you click on the chart above, you can see one thing I was tracking in the afternoon of Friday, March 12th. (Data and chart from Sierra Chart). In the top panel, we see the futures market for the S&) 500 Index (ES), where each bar represents 50,000 contracts traded. The second panel shows the
- [Should High Achieving Traders Try To Live A Balanced Life?](https://bitnes.top/should-high-achieving-traders-try-to-live-a-balanced-life/) - A developing trader with a real passion for markets recently asked me about the psychological benefits of a "balanced life". I'm sure he noticed, as I have, that many of the most successful traders put an unusual amount of time and effort into their work. Is that setting them up for burnout, however, or undue
- [A Forex Pair Snapshot Chart](https://bitnes.top/a-forex-pair-snapshot-chart/) - After yesterday's Heatmap Plot of Forex Temporal Clustering post I thought I would consolidate all the chart types I have recently created into one easy, snapshot overview type of chart. Below is a typical example of such a chart, this being today's 10 minute EUR_USD forex pair chart up to a few hours after the
- [Heatmap Plot of Forex Temporal Clustering of Turning Points](https://bitnes.top/heatmap-plot-of-forex-temporal-clustering-of-turning-points/) - Following up on my previous post, below is the chart of the temporal turning points that I have come up with.This particular example happens to be 10 minute candlesticks over the last two days of the GBP_USD forex pair.The details I have given about various turning points over the course of my last few posts have
- [Temporal Clustering Times on Forex Majors Pairs](https://bitnes.top/temporal-clustering-times-on-forex-majors-pairs/) - In the following code box there are the results from the temporal clustering routine of my last few posts on the four forex majors pairs of EUR_USD, GBP_USD, USD_CHF and USD_JPY.###### EUR_USD 10 minute bars ####### ## In the following order ## Both Delta turning point filter and "normal" TPF combined ## ## Delta turning
- [Webinar 13 DEC 2020 | Lesson #18](https://bitnes.top/webinar-13-dec-2020-lesson-18/)
- [How to spot swings in Forex](https://bitnes.top/how-to-spot-swings-in-forex/) - To be applied only on Forexbut you are free to apply on any scripGives best result on Hourly Time frame.Link to Top IndicatorLink to Bottom Indicator- Enjoy Trading
- [Temporal Clustering on Real Prices, Part 2](https://bitnes.top/temporal-clustering-on-real-prices-part-2/) - Below are some more out of sample plots for the Temporal Clustering solutions of the EUR_USD forex pair for the week just gone. The details of how these solutions are derived is explained in my previous post, Temporal Clustering on Real Prices. First is Tuesday's solutionwhere the major (blue vertical lines) turns are a combination
- [Peak Margin Circular from Sebi](https://bitnes.top/peak-margin-circular-from-sebi/) - What is the Peak margin circular aboutSEBI has been grappling with some issues in recent years amongst which were of course broker corruption, network effects of one failure on others, and then there was the severe discomfort with the extremely high percentage of derivatives turnover versus cash.Because of the way derivatives are- a synthetic instrument,
- [Temporal Clustering on Real Prices](https://bitnes.top/temporal-clustering-on-real-prices/) - Having now had time to run the code shown in my previous post, Temporal Clustering, part 3, in this post I want to show the results on real prices.Firstly, I have written two functions in Octave to identify market turning points and each function takes as input an n_bar argument which determines the lookback/lookforward length along
- [Temporal Clustering, Part 3](https://bitnes.top/temporal-clustering-part-3/) - Continuing on with the subject matter of my last post, in the code box below there is R code which is a straight forward refactoring of the Octave code contained in the second code box of my last post. This code is my implementation of the cross validation routine described in the paper Cluster Validation by
- [How to choose stocks for Next Day](https://bitnes.top/how-to-choose-stocks-for-next-day/) - I have received numerous queries on how to choose stocks for next day As you all know that I use super trend for trading intraday and it is based on small swings or pullbacks. So first step to narrow down stocks for the next day is to check its beta in 3 minutes chart with index. Now
- [A perfect setup for Entry](https://bitnes.top/a-perfect-setup-for-entry/) - Upper Indicator SuperTrendLower Indicator, Vol + Trend Hello friends I received number of requests, on how to draw the setupFirst of all I am mentioning two links for the indicators the first link is for super trend indicator and the second link is for volatility and trend indicator I have attached herewith a sample image for a perfect
- [A Temporal Clustering Function, Part 2](https://bitnes.top/a-temporal-clustering-function-part-2/) - Further to my previous post, below is an extended version of the "blurred_maxshift_1d_linear" function. This updated version has two extra outputs: a vector of the cluster centre index ix values and a vector the same length as the input data with the cluster centres to which each datum has been assigned. These changes have necessitated
- [SuperTrend with VWAP](https://bitnes.top/supertrend-with-vwap/) - VWAP , a widely used indicatorIn the free account, there is a limit to add max. of 3 indicatorsand with my 2 indicators added, the very scope is left to add further studiesI received many requests to add this indi in my setup, although I personally don't use the sameSo here's the new version of ST with vwapEnjoyClick HERE to add
- [A Better CCI](https://bitnes.top/a-better-cci/) - This is an oscillator, better than CCIand to be used with SupertrendIt is meant of scalping in running trendsuppose the price is below superT and oscillator touches 100 and returnsthen we can initiate a short for few bucks and vice versa for buyPoint to note is.... Oscillator must not be above 100 or below -100for more
- [Volatility Trend Indicator](https://bitnes.top/volatility-trend-indicator/) - Color bands show you broader trendFor buy setup look for blue and for sell setup look for orangeBlack line shows volatilityas we want to reduce SL so while entering any setupvolatilty line must be less than 100Click HERE to add an indicator to your chart
- [A Temporal Clustering Function](https://bitnes.top/a-temporal-clustering-function/) - Recently a reader contacted me with a view to collaborating on some work regarding the Delta phenomenon but after a brief exchange of e-mails this seems to have petered out. However, for my part, the work I have done has opened a few new avenues of investigation and this post is about one of them.One of
- [Superb gains with SuperTrend](https://bitnes.top/superb-gains-with-supertrend/) - Highly efficient supertrend indicatorfollow me on telegram to get daily 4 stockswhich fits in this supertrend for a profit of 1% dailyStocks are shared daily on telegram:https://t.me/magictrend Trading View Script
- [Time Based Trend Reversal by Thanos](https://bitnes.top/time-based-trend-reversal-by-thanos/) - https://in.tradingview.com/script/SxcQdQaJ-Time-based-zone-PP-Fibo-PP-TOT/
- [Squeezed Price - Next Day Breakout](https://bitnes.top/squeezed-price-next-day-breakout/) - https://chartink.com/screener/squeezed-price
- [Scan Narrow CPR for Next day](https://bitnes.top/scan-narrow-cpr-for-next-day/) - https://chartink.com/screener/narrow-cpr-for-next-day-5
- [How to trade SuperTrend](https://bitnes.top/how-to-trade-supertrend/)
- [Candlestick Pattern Scanner Functions](https://bitnes.top/candlestick-pattern-scanner-functions/) - Since my last currency strength candlestick chart post it seemed to make sense to be able to scan said charts for signals, so below is the code for two Octave functions which act as candlestick pattern scanners. The code is fully vectorised and self-contained, and on my machine they can scan more than 300,000 OHLC bars
- [Volatility Detector](https://bitnes.top/volatility-detector/) - https://in.tradingview.com/script/IjTb5Pzz-Volatility-Detector-by-Ajeet/This indicator is used for detecting VolatilityTo be applied only on 15 mins chartAs soon as you spot a circle (Inc. in Volatility ) then high movement isexpected in further 5-6 candlesMovement can be up or downIts can be best used for scalping...Run a chart on 15 mins, detect a candle with an indication of high movement aheadshift
- [Currency Strength Candlestick Chart](https://bitnes.top/currency-strength-candlestick-chart/) - In my previous posts on currency strength indices I have always visualised the indicator(s) as a line chart, e.g. here. However, after some deep thought, I have now created a way to visualise this as a candlestick chart using Octave's candle function, which, by the way, was written by me. Creating the candlestick body of a
- [Forex Intraday Seasonality](https://bitnes.top/forex-intraday-seasonality/) - Over the last week or so I have been reading about/investigating this post's title matter. Some quotes from various papers' abstracts on the matter are:"We provide empirical evidence that the unique signature of the FX market seasonality is indeed due to the di fferent time zones market participants operate from. However, once normalised using our
- [Helping books on Amibroker](https://bitnes.top/helping-books-on-amibroker/) - Amibroker User GuideLooping in AmibrokerPractical Methods in Amibroker
- [Time Warp Edit Distance as a Loss Function](https://bitnes.top/time-warp-edit-distance-as-a-loss-function/) - Some time ago I posted about the time warp edit distance (twed) and recently I've revisited this as a possible loss function. The basic idea is to use this during algorithm training to match a "perfect equity curve" rather than use the usual loss measurements such as mean squared error for regression or cross entropy
- [Magic Trend](https://bitnes.top/magic-trend/) - Magic Trend( Signals are Less but accuracy is More ) Trading view Script
- [Breakouts - Good way to Earn](https://bitnes.top/breakouts-good-way-to-earn/) - Trading View Script
- [Nest To AmiBroker Data Feeder](https://bitnes.top/nest-to-amibroker-data-feeder/) - Nest to AmiBroker Data Feeder is a utility which facilitates to transfer data from NEST Trading Terminal to Amibroker. Which provides RealTime and Backfill data to Amibroker from Nest Trading Terminal, it supports NSE equity, NSE futures and Option, MCX, Currency Market (CDS), and also BSE Exchanges. Nest to AmiBroker Data Feeder takes Real Time
- [More Work on RVFL Networks](https://bitnes.top/more-work-on-rvfl-networks/) - Back in November last year I posted about Random Vector Functional Link (RVFL) networks here and here. Since then, along with my recent work on Oanda's API Octave functions and Market/Volume Profile visualisation, I have continued looking at RVFL networks and this post is an update on this work.The "random" in RVFL means random initialisation of weights that
- [Trending Stocks for Today](https://bitnes.top/trending-stocks-for-today/) - Here's a simple scanner in chartink, to scan for trending stocks dailyYou can use any strategy to trade intraday in these stockshttps://chartink.com/screener/
- [Effective EMA Trading System](https://bitnes.top/effective-ema-trading-system/) - Trading View Script
- [Downloading FX Pairs via Oanda API to Calculate Currency Strength Indicator](https://bitnes.top/downloading-fx-pairs-via-oanda-api-to-calculate-currency-strength-indicator/) - In the past I have posted a series of blog posts about a Currency Strength Indicator (here, here, here and here). This blog post gives an Octave function to use Oanda's API to download all the 10 minute OHLC data required to calculate the above strength indicators on the 10 minute time frame. ## Copyright (C) 2020 dekalog ## ##
- [Phython Code to fetch OI data for FnO](https://bitnes.top/phython-code-to-fetch-oi-data-for-fno/) - Output Files 1) combined_ce_and_pe_open_int.csv 2) combined_future_open_int.csv 3) price_change.csv Libraries import requests, zipfile, StringIO import sys import argparse import os import convertCSVToXLSX as csvtoxlsx Variables to declare month_dict = { "01": "JAN", "02": "FEB", "03": "MAR", "04": "APR", "05": "MAY", "06": "JUN", "07": "JUL", "08": "AUG", "09": "SEP", "10": "OCT", "11": "NOV", "12": "DEC" } future_index_stock
- [An Improved Volume Profile Chart with Levels](https://bitnes.top/an-improved-volume-profile-chart-with-levels/) - Without much ado, here is the code ## Copyright (C) 2020 dekalog ## ## This program is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it ## under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by ## the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or ## (at your option)
- [A Volume Profile With Levels Chart](https://bitnes.top/a-volume-profile-with-levels-chart/) - Just a quick post to illustrate the latest of my ongoing chart iterations which combines a levels chart, as I have recently been posting about, but with the addition of a refined methodology of creating the horizontal histograms to more clearly represent the volumes over distinct periods. The main change is to replace the use
- [A Comparison of Charts](https://bitnes.top/a-comparison-of-charts/) - Earlier in May I posted about Market Profile with some charts and video. Further work on this has made me realise that my earlier post should more accurately be described as Volume Profile, so apologies to readers for that. Another, similar type of chart I have seen described as a TPO chart (TPO stands for 'That
- [A Second Orderbook Visualisation Chart](https://bitnes.top/a-second-orderbook-visualisation-chart/) - Below is code for a second way of charting ohlc price with Oanda's order book levels. First, the function loads the relevant data and plots the order book levels with Octave's pcolor function and then plots the price ohlc as candlesticks over the pcolor plot. The candlestick part of the function reuses some of the
- [Higher High Lower Low CODE](https://bitnes.top/higher-high-lower-low-code/) - Download the Code
- [Recording Oanda's Streaming Prices](https://bitnes.top/recording-oandas-streaming-prices/) - As a quick update following on from my previous post about Market Profile, with a bit of help I have written the following command line code to capture streaming prices to file stdbuf -oL -eL curl -s -H "Content-Type: application/json" -H "Authorization: Bearer XXX..." "https://stream-fxtrade.oanda.com/v3/accounts/XXX-XXX-XXXXXX-XXX/pricing/stream?instruments=EUR_USD" | jq --raw-output --unbuffered '[.time, .bids[0].price, .asks[0].price] | @csv' |
- [Market Profile Chart in Octave](https://bitnes.top/market-profile-chart-in-octave/) - In a comment on my previous post, visualising Oanda's orderbook, a reader called Darren suggested that I was over complicating things and should perhaps use a more established methodology, namely Market Profile. I had heard of Market Profile before Darren mentioned it, but had always assumed that it required access to data that I didn't readily
- [How I calculate beta for stocks](https://bitnes.top/how-i-calculate-beta-for-stocks/)
- [Visualising Oanda's Orderbook](https://bitnes.top/visualising-oandas-orderbook/) - My earlier post of 26th March shows code to visualise the most recent instantaneous snapshot of Oanda's order book, realised as a horizontal bar chart superimposed over a price chart. Below is a screen shot of a different type of chart designed to show the historical order book, which is similar to the proprietary Bookmap
- [Generic Octave_Oanda_API Function](https://bitnes.top/generic-octave_oanda_api-function/) - My last two posts have shown Octave functions that use the Oanda API to access and download data. In the first of these posts I said that I would post more code for further functions as and when I write them. However, on further reflection this would be unnecessary as the generic form of any
- [Trading Levels Based on Daily Movements](https://bitnes.top/trading-levels-based-on-daily-movements/)
- [Get Latest Pricing Octave_Oanda_API Function](https://bitnes.top/get-latest-pricing-octave_oanda_api-function/) - Following on from my my earlier, simple account summary API function, here is a function which downloads the latest pricing information for a given currency cross/tradable ## Copyright (C) 2020 dekalog ## ## This program is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it ## under the terms of the GNU General Public License
- [First Octave Function using Oanda API](https://bitnes.top/first-octave-function-using-oanda-api/) - As part of my on-going code revision I have written my first Octave function to use the Oanda API. This is just a simple "proof of concept" function which downloads an account summary. ## Copyright (C) 2020 dekalog ## ## This program is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it ## under the
- [Free Ka Gyan 01](https://bitnes.top/free-ka-gyan-01/) - Join me on Telegram at: https://t.me/magictrend Lesson #01 Till now you have seen my 7 or 8 Excel
- [Some Basic Code Housekeeping](https://bitnes.top/some-basic-code-housekeeping/) - Since my last post, back in late November last year, I have been doing a few disparate things such as: improving the coding of some functions in R to use the Oanda API to automatically download data using cronjobs coding some Octave functions to plot/visualise the above data more work on Random Vector Functional Link networks
- [Learn how to plot S/R on chart](https://bitnes.top/learn-how-to-plot-s-r-on-chart/) - Join Me !!! Hi Friends I myself, an intraday trader for past 13 years My main strategy is too trade as per support and resistance If you too wanna learn, how to plot S/R on charts, for a profitable setup then you can take a weekend session from me, explaining lines in depth The class
- [How to trade profitably using Pivots](https://bitnes.top/how-to-trade-profitably-using-pivots/)
- [Using RSI, in most efficient way for Day Trading](https://bitnes.top/using-rsi-in-most-efficient-way-for-day-trading/)
- [Breakouts-Sureshot Profit](https://bitnes.top/breakouts-sureshot-profit/) - excel trading system, sureshot trading system, nse tips, best indicator, excel scanner, trading scanner, scan intraday, level indicator, buy call, sell call, automated trading system, excel link amibroker, live intraday scanner, live nse calls, breakout levels, Stocks Breakout Levels (Pro) v2.3.1 Many times market is rangebound and whipsaws eat our day long profit. But I
- [RVFL Network Results](https://bitnes.top/rvfl-network-results/) - Having let the tests outlined in my previous post run, I can say that the results are inconclusive as the optimised number of neurons in the hidden layer turns out to be one, the minimum possible to even have a hidden layer. This leads me to believe that the raw features, the ideal cyclic tau
- [Random Vector Functional Link Networks](https://bitnes.top/random-vector-functional-link-networks/) - In my last post I briefly mentioned Random Vector Functional Link networks and that this post would be about them, inspired by the fact that the preliminary results of the last post suggest a shallow rather than a deep network structure. The idea of RVFL networks is over two decades old and has perhaps been
- [Do you change your strategies, quite often?](https://bitnes.top/do-you-change-your-strategies-quite-often/) - Intra Day Trading strategy is not useful,if you don’t know this reality of trading This article is not for novice trader, who thinks that if they got PERFECT trading strategy then they can PRINT unlimited money. This article will help for those : 1. Who had lost enough money in trading 2. Who had already
- [Preliminary Results from Weight Agnostic Training](https://bitnes.top/preliminary-results-from-weight-agnostic-training/) - Following on from my last post, below is a selection of the typical resultant output from the Bayesopt Library minimisation 3 3 2 2 2 8 99 22 30 1 3 3 2 3 2 39 9 25 25 1 2 2 3 2 2 60 43 83 54 3 2 1 2 2 2
- [Weight Agnostic Neural Net Training](https://bitnes.top/weight-agnostic-neural-net-training/) - I have recently come across the idea of weight agnostic neural net training and have implemented a crude version of this combined with the recent work I have been doing on Taken's Theorem ( see my posts here, here and here ) and using the statistical mechanics approach to creating synthetic data. Using the simple
- [Another Method of Creating Synthetic Data](https://bitnes.top/another-method-of-creating-synthetic-data/) - Over the years I have posted about several different methodologies for creating synthetic data and I have recently come across yet another one which readers may find useful. One of my first posts was Creation of Synthetic Data, which essentially is a random scrambling of historic data for a single time series with an attempt
- [Ideal Cyclic Tau Embedding as Times Series Features](https://bitnes.top/ideal-cyclic-tau-embedding-as-times-series-features/) - Continuing on from my Ideal Tau for Time Series Embedding post, I have now written an Octave function based on these ideas to produce features for time series modelling. The function outputs are two slightly different versions of features, examples of which are shown in the following two plots, which show up and down trends
- [The Ideal Tau for Time Series Embedding?](https://bitnes.top/the-ideal-tau-for-time-series-embedding/) - In my Preliminary Test Results of Time Series Embedding post I got a bit ahead of myself and mistakenly quoted the ideal embedding length (Tau) to be half a period for cyclic prices. This should actually have been a quarter of a period and I have now corrected my earlier post. This post is about
- [Preliminary Test Results of Time Series Embedding](https://bitnes.top/preliminary-test-results-of-time-series-embedding/) - Following on from my post yesterday, this post presents some preliminary results from the test I was running while writing yesterday's post. However, before I get to these results I would like to talk a bit about the hypothesis being tested. I had an inkling that the dominant cycle period might having some bearing on tau,
- [Taken's Theorem and Time Series Embedding](https://bitnes.top/takens-theorem-and-time-series-embedding/) - I am now back from my summer break and am currently looking at using Taken's theorem and am using an adapted version of this mdembedding code ( adapted to run smoothly in Octave ). At the moment of writing this post I have a Monte Carlo test running in the background on my computer, the results
- [Process Noise Covariance Matrix Q for a Kalman Filter](https://bitnes.top/process-noise-covariance-matrix-q-for-a-kalman-filter/) - Since my last post I have been working on the process noise covariance matrix Q, with a view to optimising both the Q and R matrices for an Extended Kalman filter to model the cyclic component of price action as a Sine wave. However, my work to date has produced unsatisfactory results and I have
- [Determining the Noise Covariance Matrix R for a Kalman Filter](https://bitnes.top/determining-the-noise-covariance-matrix-r-for-a-kalman-filter/) - An important part of getting a Kalman filter to work well is tuning the process noise covariance matrix Q and the measurement noise covariance matrix R. This post is about obtaining the R matrix, with a post about the Q matrix to come in due course. In my last post about the alternative version extended kalman
- [Extended Kalman Filter, Alternative Version](https://bitnes.top/extended-kalman-filter-alternative-version/) - Below is alternative code for an Extended Kalman filter for a sine wave, which has 4 states: the sine wave value, the phase, the angular frequency and amplitude and measurements thereof. I have found it necessary to implement this version because I couldn't adjust my earlier version code to accept and measure the additional states without
- [Extended Kalman Filter](https://bitnes.top/extended-kalman-filter/) - In the code box below I provide code for an Extended Kalman filter to model a sine wave. This is a mashup of code from a couple of toolboxes I have found online, namely learning-the-extended-kalman-filter and EKF/UKF Tollbox for Matlab/Octave. The modelled states are the phase, angular frequency and amplitude of the sine wave and
- [Order Flow System](https://bitnes.top/order-flow-system/) - Order flow system is strategy, which I personally use for taking intraday trading decisions. Here's an extract from interview of Trader Dali, who's an expert in order flow system for forex market that I collected from web. From below snippets, you will understand the working basis of my excel sheet, "Buy Low Sell High". Here
- [Open Interest: What it means to traders](https://bitnes.top/open-interest-what-it-means-to-traders/) - We all know Futures and Options, or for that matter, any derivative instrument would actually sum up to have a zero-sum pay-off, considering there is a Long for every Short. However, in an attempt to make these bets, we do find traders like you and me, we end up painting a picture of our mood
- [Tests of Constant and Variable Acceleration Model Kalman Filters](https://bitnes.top/tests-of-constant-and-variable-acceleration-model-kalman-filters/) - In my last post I said that this next post would report the results of tests on a Constant Acceleration model Kalman filter, and the results are: fail, just like the Constant Velocity model, so I won't bore readers with reporting the details of the failed tests. However, tests of a Variable Acceleration model have been more successful,
- [Test of Constant Velocity Model Kalman Filter](https://bitnes.top/test-of-constant-velocity-model-kalman-filter/) - Following on from my previous post, this post is a more detailed description of the testing methodology to test kinematic motion models on financial time series. The rationale behind the test(s) which are described below is different from the usual backtesting in that the test(s) are to determine whether the Kalman filter model is mismatched
- [Revisiting the Kalman Filter](https://bitnes.top/revisiting-the-kalman-filter/) - Some time ago ( here, here and here ) I posted about the Kalman filter and recently I have been looking at Kalman filters again because of this Trend Without Hiccups paper hosted at SSRN. I also came across this Estimation Lecture paper which provides MATLAB code for the testing of Kalman filters and my
- [Equity Stock Recommendation](https://bitnes.top/equity-stock-recommendation/) - Excel trading system, excel buy sell system, intraday trading system, best trading system, trading system for traders, stock analysis, free stock tips, free stock recommendations, excel stock tips, accurate trading, holygrail system, This Excel is based completely on integrated automation of order flow systemand chooses from over 200 Stocks and then display Buy/Sell recommendations on every
- [Algo Trading](https://bitnes.top/algo-trading/) - Data collection phase: Firstly, the system needs to have input. This can be anything from technical data like prices of stocks, commodities, indices, volume, option price, open interest, etc. or fundamental data like PE ratios, ROCE, Book Value, OPM, etc. The data can also be news, special situations, inflation numbers, GDP numbers, interest rates, etc.
- [Estimating the Bid-Ask Spread](https://bitnes.top/estimating-the-bid-ask-spread/) - Below I provide a vectorised Octave function to estimate the bid-ask spread from high, low and close prices according to "A Simple Way to Estimate Bid-Ask Spreads from Daily High and Low Prices," (Corwin and Schultz, 2012). The paper can be downloaded from one of the author's homepage at https://www3.nd.edu/~scorwin/, where one can also find
- [How to extract live data from NEST/NOW/ODIN](https://bitnes.top/how-to-extract-live-data-from-nest-now-odin/) - nest to amibroker, intraday live data, excel to amibroker, live datafeed, intraday data, nse data, indian stock exchange, bse live data, now to amibroker, amibroker data, amibroker quotes, stock quotes, feed data to amibroker, sharekhan to amibroker, extract data from nest now odin sharekhan to amibroker Here's the simple procedure, of how to extract data
- [A Bull Bear Background Plotting Function for Octave](https://bitnes.top/a-bull-bear-background-plotting-function-for-octave/) - As part of my recent research I have found it convenient to write another custom plotting function for Octave, which plots a single line price plot against a conditionally coloured background, e.g. two separate colours for bull and bear market regimes. Being able to plot like this avoids the necessity to keep flipping between two separate
- [Automated Stock Recommendations](https://bitnes.top/automated-stock-recommendations/) - Hi Friends,Here's Automated Stock Recommendations in Excel. This Excel is based completely based on integrated automation and chooses from over 200 Stocks. and then display Buy/Sell recommendations on every morning of trading day. You can use any simple chart along with these recommendations to be double sure. It reduces all your pain of where to
- ["Black Swan" Data Cleaning](https://bitnes.top/black-swan-data-cleaning/) - Since my last post I have been investigating training features that can be derived from my Currency Strength indicator as input for machine learning algorithms and during this work it was obvious that there are instances in the raw data that are Black Swan outliers. This can be seen in the chart below as pronounced
- [Calls Generator (Index Study)](https://bitnes.top/calls-generator-index-study/) - Generates Daily Buy/Sell Levels in Nifty/BankNifty Futures and 2 Stock Futures Price: Rs.1500 (One Time Charge) No Monthly or Yearly Charge, its just one time server charges. Call: 817-877-3712
- [Automated Nifty Stocks Fibo Levels](https://bitnes.top/automated-nifty-stocks-fibo-levels/) - Fibonacci Levels for Nifty Stocks The Intraday levels are auto-calculated based on the Opening PRICE and Daily volatility of 5 days Standard Deviation. Following Series, Levels are screened in either direction. Intraday LEVEL 0.236 as Target 1 Intraday LEVEL0.382 as Target 2 Intraday LEVEL 0.5 as Target 3 Intraday LEVEL 0.618 as Target 4 Price:
- [Nice Nifty System](https://bitnes.top/nice-nifty-system/) - Code: _SECTION_BEGIN("MA Diff"); T=26; KMA=((C-MA(C,T))/MA(C,T))*100; Graph0=KMA; Graph0Style=2+4; Graph0BarColor=IIf(KMA>0,5,4); GraphXSpace=5; _SECTION_END(); _SECTION_BEGIN("Price"); SetChartOptions(0,chartShowArrows|chartShowDates); Plot( C, "Close", ParamColor("Color", colorBlack ), styleNoTitle | ParamStyle("Style") | GetPriceStyle() ); _SECTION_END(); //------------------------------------------------------------------------------ _SECTION_BEGIN("ZIG-ZAG"); P = ParamField( "Price field" ); change = Param("% change",5,0.1,25,0.1); _SECTION_END(); _SECTION_BEGIN("EMA"); P = ParamField("Price field",-1); Periods = Param("Periods", 15, 2, 300, 1, 10 ); _SECTION_END(); _SECTION_BEGIN("MACD Exploration");
- [Want to Learn Amibroker ???](https://bitnes.top/want-to-learn-amibroker/) - Are you facing difficulty in understanding Amibroker? Here's an ebook which will make your life little bit easy..... This book discusses the installation and use of the AmiBroker trading system development platform. It contains instructions for: downloading the (free) trial version of AmiBroker connecting AmiBroker to free and subscription data services converting the trial version
- [candle.m Function Released](https://bitnes.top/candle-m-function-released/) - I have just noticed that my previously accepted candlestick plot function now appears to have been released, release date 14 December 2017, as part of the Octave financial package. The function reference is at https://octave.sourceforge.io/financial/function/candle.html
- [Update on Improved Currency Strength Indicator](https://bitnes.top/update-on-improved-currency-strength-indicator/) - Following on from my previous post I have now slightly changed the logic and coding behind the idea, which can be seen in the code snippet below % aud_cad mse_vector(1) = log( ( current_data(1,1) * ( aud_x / cad_x ) ) / current_data(2,1) )^2 ; % xau_aud mse_vector(46) = log( ( current_data(1,46) * ( gold_x
- [An Improved Currency Strength Indicator plus Gold and Silver Indices?](https://bitnes.top/an-improved-currency-strength-indicator-plus-gold-and-silver-indices/) - In the past I have blogged about creating a currency strength indicator ( e.g. here, here and here ) and this post talks about a new twist on this idea. The motivation for this came about from looking at chart plots such as this, which shows Gold prices in the first row, Silver in the second
- [How To Assess Mutual Fund Performance](https://bitnes.top/how-to-assess-mutual-fund-performance/) - How do people measure the performance of a fund? If you look at 2017, it was a bumper year for equity markets with high returns, very little volatility and no major corrections. And because of this, investors started to feel that the gains are always going to be great. However, that is not the case.
- [Auto Quotes Updater in Amibroker](https://bitnes.top/auto-quotes-updater-in-amibroker/) - Auto updates quotes to Amibroker Launches automatically every minute Backfills very minute Data available: 15 Days for 1 min and 60 Days for 5 min Supports all symbols listed on NSE & BSE Full support for Volume Supports more than 200 symbols in one go. Minimum candle size is of 1 min Totally integrates with
- [Options OI Analysis Tool](https://bitnes.top/options-oi-analysis-tool/) - Make wise decision of trend of Nifty using this option tool. This is most widely used tool for predicting the trend Best thing is, its not lagging indicator, rather its leading indicator. Helps in reducing your losses by making stoploss smaller. Auto updates every minute. Initially its for Nifty (Cash), but can be customised for
- [Live Terminal NSE/BSE](https://bitnes.top/live-terminal-nse-bse/) - Free Live Terminal for NSE / BSE No Need for Login or open any account Free Lifetime access from anywhere through PC Browser like chrome Supported NSE Indices: CNX NIFTYNifty Midcap 50CNX NIFTY JUNIORCNX ITBANK NiftyCNX RealtyCNX InfraCNX EnergyCNX FMCGCNX MNCCNX PharmaCNX PSECNX PSU BankCNX ServiceCNX MediaCNX MetalCNX Auto Supported BSE Index: S&P BSE SensexS&P BSE Teck
- [EOD Data Downloader for Amibroker](https://bitnes.top/eod-data-downloader-for-amibroker/) - Downloads tons of data in fraction of time All scrips listed in NSE or BSE are supported. Valid for lifetime Generates .CSV files, which can be easily imported to Amibroker Price only Rs.600 (One time fee) Call: 817-877-3712 (India Mobile)
- [Supertrend Multitimeframe Dashboard](https://bitnes.top/supertrend-multitimeframe-dashboard/) - Trading Logic Go long if Hourly HRSI is trending upwards and Supertrend turns to buy mode on 5min charts Exit long if Supertrend turns to sell mode (i.e Trailing Stop hits on closing basis) on 5min charts Go Short if Hourly HRSI is trending downwards and Supertrend turns to short mode on 5min charts Exit
- [Hidden Markov Modelling of Synthetic Periodic Time Series Data](https://bitnes.top/hidden-markov-modelling-of-synthetic-periodic-time-series-data/) - I am currently working on a method of predicting/projecting cyclic price action, based upon John Ehlers' sinewave indicator code, and to test it I am using Octave's implementation of a Hidden Markov model in the Octave statistics package hosted at Sourceforge. Basically I measure the dominant cycle period ( using either the above linked sinewave indicator code
- [New LTCG in Budget 2018](https://bitnes.top/new-ltcg-in-budget-2018/) - We all know that new LTCG rule has been imposed in budget 2018 Here's the extract: New LTCG report by economic times To calculate we may need , closing price of stock on 31st Jan 2018 So I am pasting here, closing price of all stocks in cash segment, which were traded on 31st Jan
- [Bhavcopy Downloader](https://bitnes.top/bhavcopy-downloader/) - Getbhavcopy is a FREE data downloader for Indian Stock Exchanges, NSE and BSE. The data is directly downloaded from NSE and BSE servers. Getbhavcopy can download daily and historical EOD data for Equities, Indices and Futures. The downloaded data is exported in a format that can be easily imported by leading technical analysis softwares like
- [How to choose stocks for Intraday](https://bitnes.top/how-to-choose-stocks-for-intraday/) - Take out 4 hour time frame charts, Identify trend in 4 hour time frame using either price action - (HH HL & LL LH, VPL, VPH, MPH, MPL ) or simply with Super trend (8,2 or 10,3 settings) or PSAR or EMA's (50/200 EMA ) etc etc.. After identifying trend, look for confirmation from momentum
- [Time Warp Edit Distance](https://bitnes.top/time-warp-edit-distance/) - Part of my normal routine is to indulge in online research for use useful ideas, and I recently came across An Empirical Evaluation of Similarity Measures for Time Series Classification, and one standout from this paper is the Time Warp Edit Distance where, from the conclusion, "...the TWED measure originally proposed by Marteau (2009) seems
- [Money Flow Index Trick](https://bitnes.top/money-flow-index-trick/) - Find out the previous day’s high and low. Find out current day’s high and low at any point of time. Note down 2 fractions (0.45 and 0.75) Find the range of previous day. (Previous day high – Previous day low) Multiply the range for previous day with the two fractions from step 3. (0.45 and
- [candle.m Function Accepted](https://bitnes.top/candle-m-function-accepted/) - I have received an e-mail from the maintainer of the Octave Financial Package that my candlestick function will be rolled out with the next release of the financial package. For those readers who can't wait the final code, with revisions, is now available at the Octave-Forge here. This represents a new milestone for me as this
- [Candlestick Plotting Function Submitted for Inclusion in Octave Financial Package](https://bitnes.top/candlestick-plotting-function-submitted-for-inclusion-in-octave-financial-package/) - I have today submitted an improved version of my basic candlestick plotting function, candle.m ( see previous post ) for inclusion in the Octave Financial package. As I am not sure when, or even if, it will be accepted, I provide a copy of it below. ## Copyright (C) 2017 dekalog ## ## This program is
- [RSI Breakout Strategy](https://bitnes.top/rsi-breakout-strategy/) - (Click image to Enlarge) 1ST POINT: RSI MUST CROSS 60 2ND POINT: RSI MUST MAKE A PEAK ABOVE 60 THEN RSI AFTER MAKING PEAK SHOULD SLOPE DOWN BUT SHOULDN'T SLOPE BELOW 60 3RD POINT AFTER SLOPE IT SHOULD RISE AGAIN AND CROSS THE PEAK IT MADE FINAL POINT RSI Calculation 1. Typical Price = (High
- [Candlestick Plotting Function for Octave.](https://bitnes.top/candlestick-plotting-function-for-octave/) - I have long been frustrated by the lack of an "out of the box" solution for plotting OHLC candlestick charts natively in Octave, the closest solution I know being the highlow plot function from the financial package ( which does not yet implement a candle function ) over at Octave Sourceforge. This being the case,
- [Prepending Historical Data with Oanda's R API](https://bitnes.top/prepending-historical-data-with-oandas-r-api/) - As a follow on to my previous post, which was about appending data, the script below prepends historical data to an assumed existing data record. % cd to the hourly data directory setwd("~/Documents/octave/oanda_data/hourly") all_current_historical_data_list = read.table("instrument_hourly_update_file",header=FALSE,sep="",colClasses=c("character","Date","numeric") ) for( ii in 1 : nrow( all_current_historical_data_list ) ) { instrument = all_current_historical_data_list[ ii , 1 ] current_ohlc_record
- [Updating Historical Data Using Oanda's API and R](https://bitnes.top/updating-historical-data-using-oandas-api-and-r/) - Following on from my previous post about downloading historical data, this post shows how previously downloaded data may be updated and appended with new, more recent data without having to re-download all the old data all over again. The main function to do this, HisPricesDates, downloads data between given dates as function inputs and is
- [Google Data Downloader](https://bitnes.top/google-data-downloader/) - Sincere thanks to RMIKE for this wonderful utility This is a Python distributable utility to download 1 min historical data for NSE from Google finance. This is compiled to work on Microsoft Windows OS. Will not work for Mac and Linux OS. Important – Follow all instructions regarding package and file placement. Don’t modify the name of any file
- [PairTrading Recommendations](https://bitnes.top/pairtrading-recommendations/) - Recommendations for Pair Trade: Problem in viewing? Visit Here and refresh
- [Fetching Intraday data from Google using Python](https://bitnes.top/fetching-intraday-data-from-google-using-python/) - All credits to RMIKE Here is an yet another interesting python tutorial to fetch intraday data using Google Finance API , store the data in csv format and also plot the intraday data as candlestick format. We are using plotly library for plotting candlestick charts and pandas to manage time-series data. Luckily found and interesting python code
- [TD Sequential](https://bitnes.top/td-sequential/) - Tom Demark Sequential Books which I have found and have read:New Market Timing Techniques - Thomas R. Demark. Written by Tom Demark itself but it is difficult to read and understand. I have needed several months to understand the idea and to summarize the information bellow.... and than I found the following book:DeMark INDICATORS - Jason
- [Downloading Historical Data Using Oanda's API and R](https://bitnes.top/downloading-historical-data-using-oandas-api-and-r/) - It has been about 5 months since my last blog post and in this time I have been working away from home, been on summer holiday and spent some time mucking about on boats, so I have not been able to devote as much time to my blog as I would have liked. However, that
- [Option Action Tool](https://bitnes.top/option-action-tool/) - Option Greeks In options trading, we use certain Greek alphabets when describing risks associated with various positions. They are delta, gamma, theta and Vega generally known as ‘Greeks’ Interactive Pay-Off Graph Customers can specify strategies to obtain the pay-off which is indicated by a blue line. For each strategy you need to specify the strike
- [Nifty Level Calculator](https://bitnes.top/nifty-level-calculator/) - Nifty Level Calculator Launched again Ver 2.0.17..... Nifty Level Calculator is an excel utility that generates automatic levels of Buy/Sell for Nifty in excel. You must have office 2007 or higher for this file to run properly. Before downloading this file, kindly download excel runtime and install on your pc. You must trust all macros
- [Disclaimer](https://bitnes.top/disclaimer/) - Disclaimer for all my views/charts/suggestions/Recommendations:I am NOT sebi registered financial advisor so all the charts or recommendations shared by me are either for fun or for educational purposes. I never took trades based on them. So I advise you all that never invest real money in such calls as you may loose all your capital invested,
- [Using the BayesOpt Library to Optimise my Planned Neural Net](https://bitnes.top/using-the-bayesopt-library-to-optimise-my-planned-neural-net/) - Following on from my last post, I have recently been using the BayesOpt library to optimise my planned neural net, and this post is a brief outline, with code, of what I have been doing. My intent was to design a Nonlinear autoregressive exogenous model using my currency strength indicator as the main exogenous input, along with other
- [Earn Daily in Stock Market | Trending | Part 01](https://bitnes.top/earn-daily-in-stock-market-trending-part-01/)
- [Update on Currency Strength Smoothing, and a new direction?](https://bitnes.top/update-on-currency-strength-smoothing-and-a-new-direction/) - Since my last two posts ( currency strength indicator and preliminary tests thereof ) I have been experimenting with different ways of smoothing the indicators without introducing lag, mostly along the lines of using an oscillator leading signal plus various schemes to smooth and compensate for introduced attenuation and making heavy use of my particle swarm
- [Import Free Google Data to Amibroker](https://bitnes.top/import-free-google-data-to-amibroker/)
- [Preliminary Tests of Currency Strength Indicator](https://bitnes.top/preliminary-tests-of-currency-strength-indicator/) - Since my last post on the currency strength indicator I have been conducting a series of basic randomisation tests to see if the indicator has better than random predictive ability. The first test was a random permutation test, as described in Aronson's Evidence Based Technical Analysis book, the code for which I have previously posted
- [Nifty Spot weekly Analysis (6 Nov 2016)](https://bitnes.top/nifty-spot-weekly-analysis-6-nov-2016/) - Nifty Spot Huge volatility is expected ahead of US Elections Here is past 6 months chart of Nifty Spot Chart is showning Trend Decider Levels at 8400 & 8550 Nifty spot has taken support @ 8400 on friday & Closes @ 8433.75 So if breaks 8400 and closes below this level then next supports are
- [Nifty weekly View 1-4 Nov 2016](https://bitnes.top/nifty-weekly-view-1-4-nov-2016/) - Above posted is last 3 months chart for Nifty Future For Nifty Future this week (i.e 30/10 - 4/11) Trend Decider Levels are 8700 & 8545 Nifty 5th top line connecting around 8700, Means……. stop of 8700 for shorts !!! yess So if breaks & Closes above 8700…. Then will try to move 8750
- [Currency Strength Indicator](https://bitnes.top/currency-strength-indicator/) - Over the last few weeks I have been looking into creating a currency strength indicator as input to a Nonlinear autoregressive exogenous model. This has involved a fair bit of online research and I have to say that compared to other technical analysis indicators there seems to be a paucity of pages devoted to the
- [Nifty Gann Levels 24-28 Oct 2016](https://bitnes.top/nifty-gann-levels-24-28-oct-2016/) - This week Nifty is going to complete an important & a major time cycle. From 28th October to 5th November. We may see wild movements during this time range. A close above 8737 will open the gates for next zone of 8860, 8795, 8831, 8952, 9010. Major support levels are 8653, 8616, 8579, 8506, 8447-34, 8387, 8341, 8250,
- [Weekly View BankNifty & BharatFin (24 Oct 2016)](https://bitnes.top/weekly-view-banknifty-bharatfin-24-oct-2016/) - Above chart shown is of BHARATFIN (sksmicro) Stock is facing strong Resistance at around 930 & 940 So if breaks 940 and closes above this level………. Then rally is expected till 975 & 1025 levels!! Stock considers supports at 892 & 863 levels Fellow traders closely watch @ 940………..!! This is Banknifty Future Banknifty Future
- [Re-Activated Nifty Level Calculator](https://bitnes.top/re-activated-nifty-level-calculator/) - Nifty Level Calculator was expired !!! Re-Activated again !!! Here's the Link: http://trade.ajeetsingh.net/2016/01/nifty-level-calculator.html
- [Loading and Manipulating Historical Data From .csv Files](https://bitnes.top/loading-and-manipulating-historical-data-from-csv-files/) - In my last post I said I was going to look at data wrangling my data, and this post outlines what I have done since then. My problem was that I have numerous csv files containing historical data with different date formats and frequency, e.g. tick level and hourly and daily OHLC, and in the
- [Weekly View Nifty and Adaniports](https://bitnes.top/weekly-view-nifty-and-adaniports/) - Above is last 3 Month chart of Nifty Future Coming Week (Sept 12th-16th) NF Trend Decider 8885 & 8990 levels Nifty Future once if breaks 8885 and closes below this level then finds next supports at 8790 & 8668 Nifty Future facing strong resistance & crucial level at 8990 Once if breaks 8990 and closes
- [Nifty 11 Sept 2016](https://bitnes.top/nifty-11-sept-2016/)
- [Weekly View Nifty and Relinfra](https://bitnes.top/weekly-view-nifty-and-relinfra/) - This is Nifty Future two Years chart (While updating Nifty is trading at 8900 up 60 points) This Week Nifty Future Trend Decider levels are 8915 & 8775 Above levels are very hurdle & crucial for this week Nifty Future once if closes above 8915………. then finding next resistances at 9050 & 9191 Considers supports at
- [Calculating Trend in Excel](https://bitnes.top/calculating-trend-in-excel/) - Download Excel from HERE
- [Possible Addition of NARX Network to Conditional Restricted Boltzmann Machine](https://bitnes.top/possible-addition-of-narx-network-to-conditional-restricted-boltzmann-machine/) - It has been over three months since my last post, due to working away from home for some of the summer, a summer holiday and moving home. However, during this time I have continued with my online reading and some new thinking about my conditional restricted boltzmann machine based trading system has developed, namely the use
- [Delta Greek](https://bitnes.top/delta-greek/)
- [Greeks of Options](https://bitnes.top/greeks-of-options/)
- [Weekly View Nifty & Tataelxsi](https://bitnes.top/weekly-view-nifty-tataelxsi/) - Above is Nifty Future last Six Months chart Nifty trading range around 8565-8730 in last 24 sessions & almost 165 points variations This Week Nifty Trend Decider levels are 8565 & 8715 Nifty ,if breaks 8565 & closes below the level then next supports are 8485, 8425 and 8300 Nifty Future facing resistance 8715……. If
- [RBI governor (Urjit Patel): 10 Key Points](https://bitnes.top/rbi-governor-urjit-patel-10-key-points/) - 1.Monetary policy expert Patel is one the four deputy governors at the RBI. He heads the monetary policy department. 2.Appointed by the Congress He was appointed by the UPA government in 2013. 3.Extended term His term, which was supposed to end this year, was extended by three years in January. 4.Rajan’s trusted collaborator Reserve bank
- [Weekly View NIfty & Ambujacem](https://bitnes.top/weekly-view-nifty-ambujacem/) - This is Three Month chart of Nifty Future Nifty Future hammered at higher levels like 8700-8760 in last 15 days Now facing strong resistance & crucial level around 8760 Once if breaks & Closes above this level……… then will move 8888 & 8940+ Nifty Future considers support at around 8600 & 8545 Don’t shorts at
- [Gann View 22-26 Aug 2016](https://bitnes.top/gann-view-22-26-aug-2016/) - The view remains the same. To go further high Nifty must give a close above 8740-8751 zone. A short trade must be initiated in the zone of 8720-8750 with SL @ 8770 on closing basis. Major resistance level are 8711-8728-8742, 8805, Major support levels are 8535, 8461-8430, 8356-27.Next pressure dates are 27/28th Aug. Important & major time cycle is
- [Option Basics for Beginners II](https://bitnes.top/option-basics-for-beginners-ii/)
- [Nifty & Infy Chart Update](https://bitnes.top/nifty-infy-chart-update/) - This is last Three Month chart of Nifty spot Nifty spot hammered at higher level like 8720-8730 So very crucial resistance around above this level Once if breaks 8730 and closes above the level…….. Try to move 8845 & 8900 Nifty spot considers support @ 8540-8520 Bears are waiting to enter below 8540!!……… There after
- [Excel Technical Analysis](https://bitnes.top/excel-technical-analysis/) - Technical Analysis program in Excel You must have office 2007 or higher for this file to run properly. This accepts only yahoo symbols, thats put ".NS" at end of symbol like "RELIANCE" will become "RELIANCE.NS" Before downloading this file, kindly download excel runtime and install on your pc. You must trust all macros and run
- [How Nifty Moves...](https://bitnes.top/how-nifty-moves/) - How Nifty Moves......!! 1% move in tcs = 12.46 points move in nifty 1% move in ITC = 10.09 points move in nifty 1% move in infosys = 7.36 points move in nifty 1% move in maruti suzuki = 3.52 points move in nifty 1% move in LT = 4.66 points move in nifty 1%
- [Easiest Way of Selecting Stocks for Investment](https://bitnes.top/easiest-way-of-selecting-stocks-for-investment/)
- [How to import Google RT data to Excel](https://bitnes.top/how-to-import-google-rt-data-to-excel/)
- [Nifty Forthcoming View](https://bitnes.top/nifty-forthcoming-view/) - Above is last Three Months chart of Nifty Spot Very Range and Low volume sessions in last 9 days This Week NIFTY Spot trend decider level 8475 & 8595 Once if breaks 8595 & close above the level………… Next resistance 8660 & 8750+ Suppose if not breaks 8595 and if close below 8475……….Next support 8400 &
- [Indusindbk forthcoming view](https://bitnes.top/indusindbk-forthcoming-view/) - Above is Indusindbank last Six Months chart Chart shown strong resistance at 1147 Stock once if breaks 1147 and close above the level……… Rally will be expected Finding next resistance around 1180 & 1210 Strong support at 1100……. Below the level bears will have an upper hand
- [Mcdowell-N forthcoming View](https://bitnes.top/mcdowell-n-forthcoming-view/) - Above is last Three Months chart of Mcdowell-n Stock came down almost 12% (Rs 300) from last 11 sessions Chart shown…….. Mcdowell now near by strong support level at 2325 U turn will be expected at this level up to 2525 & 2600 levels Stock consider support at 2325……. Suppose if breaks & close below
- [How to install Afl in Amibroker](https://bitnes.top/how-to-install-afl-in-amibroker/)
- [Option Basics for Beginners -I](https://bitnes.top/option-basics-for-beginners-i/)
- [Positional Call KEI INDUSTRIES](https://bitnes.top/positional-call-kei-industries/) - Courtesy: Indian Bank
- [Nifty Views week 11 July 2016](https://bitnes.top/nifty-views-week-11-july-2016/) - Above is last Three months chart of Nifty Future Chart shown……… Strong Resistance & Recent high at 8415 NF once if breaks 8415 and closes above the level Rally will be expected up to 8550 & 8630. NF consider supports 8295 & 8235 NF once if closes below 8235………. Selling pressure will be expected Down
- [Stock Cousins](https://bitnes.top/stock-cousins/) - We: Pick a stock that we're interested in Pick six prospective "cousins" (In cells M1 to M6) Move a slider to pick a range of days over which we identify Maximum and Minimum (Example: we're look at Max & Min over 20 days) What does that mean ... looking at Max & Min over 20 days? We
- [Know Your Exit](https://bitnes.top/know-your-exit/)
- [10 Price Action Trading Tips](https://bitnes.top/10-price-action-trading-tips/) - 1. Avoid trading when the market is far away from the moving average When the market is trending, it tends to mean revert towards the moving average. Depending on the type of trend you’re in: In a strong trend, the market tends mean revert to the 20 MA. In a normal trend, the market tends
- [Brexit](https://bitnes.top/brexit/) - View Live results Here
- [Bear Call Ladder](https://bitnes.top/bear-call-ladder/) - Background The ‘Bear’ in the “Bear Call Ladder” should not deceive you to believe that this is a bearish strategy. The Bear Call Ladder is an improvisation over the Call ratio back spread; this clearly means you implement this strategy when you are out rightly bullish on the stock/index. In a Bear Call Ladder, the
- [Call Ratio Backspread](https://bitnes.top/call-ratio-backspread/) - Background The Call Ratio Back Spread is an interesting options strategy. I call this interesting keeping in mind the simplicity of implementation and the kind of pay off it offers the trader. This should certainly have a spot in your strategy arsenal. The strategy is deployed when one is out rightly bullish on a stock
- [Bull Put Spread](https://bitnes.top/bull-put-spread/) - Why Bull Put Spread? Similar to the Bull Call Spread, the Bull Put Spread is a two leg option strategy invoked when the view on the market is ‘moderately bullish’. The Bull Put Spread is similar to the Bull Call Spread in terms of the payoff structure; however there are a few differences in terms
- [Bull Call Spread](https://bitnes.top/bull-call-spread/) - The spread strategies are some of the simplest option strategies that a trader can implement. Spreads are multi leg strategies involving 2 or more options. When I say multi leg strategies, it implies the strategy requires 2 or more option transactions. Spread strategy such as the ‘Bull Call Spread’ is best implemented when your outlook
- [Currency 2-8 June 2016](https://bitnes.top/currency-2-8-june-2016/) - Series of key events in the coming days can turn the currency volatile: The reversal in the rupee from the May 24 low of 67.76 was short-lived as it failed to strengthen beyond 67. The currency touched a high of 66.95 on Friday and reversed lower again. Even strong GDP numbers failed to boost the
- [Spot Nifty Charts](https://bitnes.top/spot-nifty-charts/) - Weekly Daily 20 stocks making 52 Week highs from Nifty500 stocks and 6 stocks making 52 Week lows ,shows the strength of the market. source: amitrandive
- [Stocks to benefit after assembly election 2016](https://bitnes.top/stocks-to-benefit-after-assembly-election-2016/) - Assembly poll results in the five states — Assam, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Kerala — once again spurred hopes of early passage of GST Bill as government may find it easier now to deal with Trinamool Congress and AIADMK in the Rajya Sabha. West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee after winning the assembly
- [Nifty 18-20 May 2016](https://bitnes.top/nifty-18-20-may-2016/) - Nifty in the sideways horizontal band. Nifty further uptrend will continue, once 7500 Put Option December close below 156.20....Trend Resume Upside. If, 7500 Put Option (December), breaks above 246.80 and closes as well...then Nifty downtrend resume... Till then, Nifty will trade within the Band... Source: fellow trader amitrandive
- [Ten stock ideas for next 30 days](https://bitnes.top/ten-stock-ideas-for-next-30-days/) - Ten stock ideas for next 15-20 trading sessions from Experts The BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty gained a percentage point last week on fresh buying mainly in banking sector buoyed by the passage of Bankruptcy Bill by the government in Parliament despite rise in inflation. On Monday (May 16), the 30-share index gained further 164
- [Linda Raschke’s Trading Rules](https://bitnes.top/linda-raschkes-trading-rules/) - Buy the first pullback after a new high. Sell the first rally after a new low. Afternoon strength or weakness should have follow through the next day. The best trading reversals occur in the morning, not the afternoon. The larger the market gaps, the greater the odds of continuation and a trend. The way the
- [Clariant chemicals](https://bitnes.top/clariant-chemicals/) - Need to be tracked as this one, seems to break a downward channel. (For positional only) Source: amitrandive
- [Giving Up on Recursive Sine Formula for Period Calculation](https://bitnes.top/giving-up-on-recursive-sine-formula-for-period-calculation/) - I have spent the last few weeks trying to get my recursive sine wave formula for period calculations to work, but try as I might I can only get it to do so under ideal theoretical conditions. Once any significant noise, trend or combination thereof is introduced the calculations explode and give meaningless results. In
- [Gann View 16-20 May 2016](https://bitnes.top/gann-view-16-20-may-2016/) - As discussed in our last post, Nifty reacted on the dates mentioned. To remain bullish Nifty needs to give a close above 7850. And a close below 7670 may drag Nifty towards 7550-7500 zone. Major resistance levels are 7835-50, 7924, 7990, 8070 Major support levels are 7777, 7737, 7717, 7700, 7676, 7604, 7550-20, 7410 Next
- [Nifty View 16-20 May 2016](https://bitnes.top/nifty-view-16-20-may-2016/) - This Week Nifty Future Trend Decider levels are 7775 & 7940 Nifty Future considers resistance at 7940 If breaks & closes above this level then a rally is expected upto 8005 & 8080 level Although Chances are very remote!! Suppose if comes higher level then can sell and hold with Stop of 7940!! Nifty Future
- [AFL for Arbitrage](https://bitnes.top/afl-for-arbitrage/) - Formula: _SECTION_BEGIN("Price"); SetChartOptions(0,chartShowArrows|chartShowDates); _N(Title = StrFormat("{{NAME}} - {{INTERVAL}} {{DATE}} Open %g, Hi %g, Lo %g, Close %g (%.1f%%) {{VALUES}}", O, H, L, C, SelectedValue( ROC( C, 1 ) ) )); Plot( C, "Close", ParamColor("Color", colorBlack ), styleNoTitle | ParamStyle("Style") | GetPriceStyle() ); _SECTION_END(); _SECTION_BEGIN("My System"); R = RSI(3); SK = StochK(8, 3); SD = StochD(8,
- [FII's Favourite Stocks](https://bitnes.top/fiis-favourite-stocks/) - The fourth quarter earnings season is about to wind up to a close and, along with results, companies have also disclosed their latest shareholding structures. Here's databases to scour for companies where foreign institutional investors continously increased their stakes for give quarters. A total of 44 such companies turned up on over screener, which we
- [Free Website for Trend Calculations](https://bitnes.top/free-website-for-trend-calculations/) - This Website gives you complete trend analysis reports of Shares, Commodity,Currency,Derivatives(Future & Options) for Intraday and Delivery( Short, Medium and Long term) for Indian Stock Market. In addition you can find in depth Nifty trend Analysis,Nifty spot Levels,Nifty future and option analysis, Sectoral Indices analysis report(Banknifty,Cnxit etc). Economic Analysis, Market analysis for investment,Daily Market performance,
- [NSE to launch weekly options contracts on Bank Nifty index](https://bitnes.top/nse-to-launch-weekly-options-contracts-on-bank-nifty-index/) - Leading stock exchange NSE today said it will introduce weekly options contracts on Bank Nifty index from May 27. The decision comes after receiving approval from markets regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi). "The exchange is pleased to inform members that with reference to approval received from Sebi, Weekly Options contracts on Bank
- [Free EOD Charts](https://bitnes.top/free-eod-charts/) - Free EOD Charts with Indicators Click Here to Visit
- [How to Trade Commodities (Intraday)](https://bitnes.top/how-to-trade-commodities-intraday/) - Time frame: we can divide Indian commodities market into 2 sessions, first from 10:00am to 6pm then second is after open international market from 6:00pm to end of the day. Most of the time from 10 am to 6pm, commodities market is range bound and after 6pm its show big reversal movement. After 6:30 pm,
- [Golden Rules for Profit by Analyzing OI](https://bitnes.top/golden-rules-for-profit-by-analyzing-oi/) - 1. If prices are in an uptrend and OI is rising, this is a bullish sign. The bulls are in charge. They are adding to positions and making the money, thus becoming more powerful. Shorts are also being stopped out, but new sellers are taking their place. As the market continues to rise, the longs
- [5 Best Bluechip Companies](https://bitnes.top/5-best-bluechip-companies/) - SBI (188.95) Contrary to expectations, SBI fell last week, closing 5.5 per cent lower for the week. It made a high of ₹202.5 and fell sharply thereafter. Technically, the 50 per cent Fibonacci retracement resistance at ₹200 has been restricting the upside in this stock for more than a month. A strong break and a
- [Forthcoming Results Display (Auto-updated)](https://bitnes.top/forthcoming-results-display-auto-updated/) - Here's the auto updated excel sheet, which displays the companies whose reaults are announced or going to be announced in current week. Click Here to View
- [Recursive Sine Wave Formula for Period Calculation](https://bitnes.top/recursive-sine-wave-formula-for-period-calculation/) - Since my last post I have successfully managed to incorporate the deepmat toolbox into my code, so now my RBM pre-training uses Parallel tempering and adaptive learning rates, which is all well and good. The only draw back at the moment is the training time - it takes approximately 3 to 4 minutes per bar
- [AFL for Open Range BreakOut](https://bitnes.top/afl-for-open-range-breakout/) - AFL for Open Range BreakOut That works great for me !!! Code: /* Intraday Open Range Breakout Exploration AFL by GMS What's the open range breakout system ? 1. it identifies the highest price and lowest price reached since open upto the Start Time, 2. Enter long when Price cross above ORBH (Open
- [15 WAYS TO TRADE MOVING AVERAGES](https://bitnes.top/15-ways-to-trade-moving-averages/) - 1. The 20-day moving average commonly marks the short-term trend, The 50-day moving average the intermediate trend, and the 200-day Moving average the long-term trend of the market. 2. These three settings represent natural boundaries for price Pullbacks. Two forces empower those averages: First, they define Levels where profit- and loss-taking should ebb following strong
- [Parallel Tempering and Adaptive Learning Rates in Restricted Boltzmann Machine Learning](https://bitnes.top/parallel-tempering-and-adaptive-learning-rates-in-restricted-boltzmann-machine-learning/) - It has been a while since my last post and in the intervening time I have been busy working on the code of my previous few posts. During the course of this I have noticed that there are some further improvements to be made in terms of robustness etc. inspired by this Master's thesis, Improved Learning
- [Access Code](https://bitnes.top/access-code/) - Dynamic Drive DHTML Scripts- Encrypted Password script Directions: Step 1: First, generate the encrypted username/password set by typing the desired selections in the box below Choose a UserName: Choose a Password: Encrypted Usercode: Encrypted Passcode: . The numbers generated by this widget come from RANDOM.ORG's true random number generator.
- [Daily Support & Resistance](https://bitnes.top/daily-support-resistance/) - Daily Support & Resistance, for any scrip. If you want to add scrip of your choice, then simply mail/contact me. Visit: bit.do/sonu01
- [Oil prices fall as OPEC producers squabble over output targets](https://bitnes.top/oil-prices-fall-as-opec-producers-squabble-over-output-targets/) - Oil prices fall as OPEC producers squabble over output targets Oil prices slid in early trading on Wednesday, extending sharp falls from the previous session after top exporter Saudi Arabia ruled out production cuts and industry data showed a further build in U.S. crude stockpiles. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were trading at $31.46 per
- [Excel Algo Trader](https://bitnes.top/excel-algo-trader/) - Automated Excel Algo Trader (Free Excel Utility) Refreshes and updates after every 20 secs between 9.15am to 3.30pm Trading all calls can fetch more than 15% return a month. Calls are generated only in FnO stocks which are highly liquid during that time. Completely basic look with easy to understand language..... Macros must be enabled
- [Index Study](https://bitnes.top/index-study/) - Automated Updated Sheet for Index Study: View Now: bit.do/indexstudy
- [Coral Trend Indicator](https://bitnes.top/coral-trend-indicator/) - // Transcoded from PineScript Indicator (Coral Trend) // Date : 20th Dec 2015 _SECTION_BEGIN("Coral Trend Indicator"); SetChartOptions(0,chartShowArrows|chartShowDates); _N(Title = StrFormat("{{NAME}} - {{INTERVAL}} {{DATE}} Open %g, Hi %g, Lo %g, Close %g (%.1f%%) {{VALUES}}", O, H, L, C, SelectedValue( ROC( C, 1 ) ) )); Plot( C, "Close", ParamColor("Color", colorDefault ), styleNoTitle | ParamStyle("Style") | GetPriceStyle()
- [Refactored Denoising Autoencoder Update #2](https://bitnes.top/refactored-denoising-autoencoder-update-2/) - Below is this second code update. % select rolling window length to use - an optimisable parameter via pso? rolling_window_length = 50 ; batchsize = 5 ; % how-many timesteps do we look back for directed connections - this is what we call the "order" of the model n1 = 3 ; % first "gaussian"
- [Refactored Denoising Autoencoder Code Update](https://bitnes.top/refactored-denoising-autoencoder-code-update/) - This code box contains updated code from my previous post. The main change is the inclusion of bias units for the directed auto-regressive weights and the visible to hidden weights. In addition there is code showing how data is pre-processed into batches/targets for the pre-training and code showing how the weight matrices are manipulated into
- [Robo Calls (Free Excel Utility)](https://bitnes.top/robo-calls-free-excel-utility/) - Robo Calls launched again. Robo Calls is an excel utility that generates automatic calls in excel. You must have office 2007 or higher for this file to run properly. Before downloading this file, kindly download excel runtime and install on your pc. You must trust all macros and run them. This utility is on trial
- [Refactored Denoising Autoencoder Code](https://bitnes.top/refactored-denoising-autoencoder-code/) - It has been quite a challenge but I now have a working first attempt at Octave code for autoencoder pre-training of weights for a Conditional Restricted Boltzmann Machine, which is shown in the code box below. % PRE-TRAINING FOR THE VISABLE TO HIDDEN AND THE VISIBLE TO VISIBLE WEIGHTS %%%% % First create a training set and
- [QUALIFICATIONS FOR SUCCESS](https://bitnes.top/qualifications-for-success/) - KNOWLEDGE :- I cannot say too much about the gaining of knowledge. You cannot get knowledge without spending time in study. You must not look for a quick and easy way to make money in the Stock market, When you have paid in advance with time & study. and gained the knowledge. then you will
- [Shortcuts for Diet Odin](https://bitnes.top/shortcuts-for-diet-odin/) - You can reduce the login time by keeping security download checkboxes off. You can change the speed of ticker in preferences portolio settings. You can copy data from any view to excel or word using Copy option in the right click menu. You can insert a blank row in the market watch using Shift +
- [China Halts Stock Trading After 7% Rout Triggers Circuit Breaker](https://bitnes.top/china-halts-stock-trading-after-7-rout-triggers-circuit-breaker/) - Chinese stock exchanges closed early for the second time this week after the CSI 300 Index plunged more than 7 percent. Trading of shares and index futures was halted by automatic circuit breakers from about 9:59 a.m. local time. Stocks fell after China’s central bank weakened the currency’s daily reference rate by the most since
- [Nifty Technical Story](https://bitnes.top/nifty-technical-story/) - The Stock Market is Beautiful! The market is a place where money is made when points of view differ. The market speaks to us in the universal language of numbers. These numbers represent price action (plotted on the y - axis) which when measured over time (plotted on the x - axis) forms a 2-dimensional
- [John Ehler's Sinewave Indicator Code](https://bitnes.top/john-ehlers-sinewave-indicator-code/) - A reader recently inquired about my use of this indicator and so below I provide my Octave C++ .oct version that I have been using for the past few years. DEFUN_DLD ( sinewave_indicator, args, nargout ) { octave_value_list retval_list ; int nargin = args.length () ; int vec_length = args(0).length () ; // check the
- [Denoising Autoencoder MATLAB/Octave Code](https://bitnes.top/denoising-autoencoder-matlab-octave-code/) - Following on from my last post I have been looking for Octave code for the denoising autoencoder to avoid reinventing the wheel and writing it myself from scratch, and luckily I have found two options. The first is a tutorial on autoencoders, by a Piotr Mirowski, which has a link to a Github page with
- [Recent Readings and New Directions.](https://bitnes.top/recent-readings-and-new-directions/) - Since my last post I have been doing a fair bit of online research and fortunately I have discovered the following papers, which mesh nicely with what I am trying to do with Conditional Restricted Boltzmann Machines to model time series:- Deep Learning Architecture for Univariate Time Series Forecasting Temporal Autoencoding Restricted Boltzmann Machine Temporal
- [Giving up on Runge-Kutta Methods (for now?)](https://bitnes.top/giving-up-on-runge-kutta-methods-for-now/) - Over the last few weeks I have been looking at using Runge-Kutta methods for the creation of features, but I have decided to give up on this for now simply because I think I have found a better way to accomplish what I want. I was alerted to this possible approach by this post over
- [Runge-Kutta Example and Code](https://bitnes.top/runge-kutta-example-and-code/) - Following on from my last post I thought I would, as a first step, code up a "straightforward" Runge-Kutta function and show how to deal with the fact that there is no "magic mathematical formula" to calculate the slopes that are an integral part of Runge-Kutta. My approach is to fit a quadratic function to the
- [Runge-Kutta Methods](https://bitnes.top/runge-kutta-methods/) - As stated in my previous post I have been focusing on getting some meaningful features as possible inputs to my machine learning based trading system, and one of the possible ideas that has caught my attention is using Runge-Kutta methods to project ( otherwise known as "guessing" ) future price evolution. I have used this
- [Recent reading](https://bitnes.top/recent-reading/) - In my last post I mentioned that I was going away for the summer, but now I'm back. During the summer I didn't get to do as much reading etc. as I had hoped, but I did manage to play around with the Rssa package for singular spectrum analysis and this is still an ongoing
- [Results of Permutation tests on Cauchy-Schwarz](https://bitnes.top/results-of-permutation-tests-on-cauchy-schwarz/) - Following on from my previous post, I have to say that the results have been quite disappointing - in all the tests I have conducted so far I have been unable to reject the null hypothesis. These tests are still on-going and I may yet find some gold, but it is looking increasingly unlikely and
- [Cauchy-Schwarz Matching Algo Revisited: More Tests](https://bitnes.top/cauchy-schwarz-matching-algo-revisited-more-tests/) - Some time ago I blogged about my Cauchy Schwarz inequality inspired matching algorithm and some tests of it here and here. More recently I have come across a nice paper about developing and back testing systematic trading strategies here, courtesy of the quantnews.com aggregating site, and being motivated by the exhortation in said paper to
- [Accounting for Data Mining Bias](https://bitnes.top/accounting-for-data-mining-bias/) - I've recently subscribed to this forexfactory thread, which is about using machine learning to develop trading systems, and the subject of data mining/data dredging has come up. This post is a short description of how mining/dredging can be accounted for, but readers should be aware that the following is not a precise description of any

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